Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings NBA Odds and Pick for March 9

Wednesday features a massive 12-game NBA slate, which is one of the busiest schedules we’ve seen in quite some time. The clash between the Denver Nuggets and Sacramento Kings certainly won’t attract much national attention, but it should be a compelling matchup between a couple of teams battling for playoff seeding.

Coming into this one:
The Nuggets are still holding off the surging Timberwolves. Denver occupies the sixth and final regular playoff seed in the Western Conference, while Minnesota would be in the play-in tournament if the season ended today. Denver has a 2.5-game lead as of now, but they need to continue to rack up wins if they’re going to keep the T-Wolves at bay.

The Kings were one of the NBA’s most active teams ahead of last month’s trade deadline. Their moves haven’t paid off just yet, but Sacramento is still in the mix for a spot in the postseason. Sacramento is four games behind New Orleans for the No. 10 seed in the conference. As of now, BetOnline has the Nuggets favored by nearly a touchdown on the road.

Denver is favored by 6.5 points in-game with an over/under of 238.5 points.

Denver Nuggets

The fact that the Nuggets are where they are in the standings is impressive considering the injuries this team has dealt with all season long. Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray have played in a combined eight games, yet the Nuggets are still 13 games over .500. Both players appear primed for a return in the near future, though no firm dates have been set just yet.

In the meantime, Nikola Jokic is going to keep dragging this team across the finish line. The reigning league MVP is putting together an even better campaign this season, which is no small feat. All the Joker is doing for an encore is averaging 25.9 points, 13.8 rebounds, and 8.1 assists per game. In Sunday’s win over the Pelicans, Jokic posted an absurd 46-point, 12-rebound, 11-assist triple-double in a come-from-behind victory. Jokic scored 30 of those 46 points in the fourth quarter and overtime alone.

All Jokic did after logging 43 minutes in that game was post 32 points, 15 rebounds, and 13 assists in the Nuggets’ 131-124 win over Golden State the very next night. Carrying such a heavy burden for a team that has been crushed by injuries all season long may take a toll on Jokic physically, but he has shown no signs of wear-and-tear thus far. Through three games in March, the All-Star center is averaging 33.3 points, 14.3 rebounds, and 9.3 assists per game.

Denver is also peaking at the right time.
The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games overall. This will be their third meeting with Sacramento in that span, however. The Nuggets and Kings squared off twice immediately after the All-Star break. Denver claimed both of those games by a combined 23 points. That includes an 18-point triumph over the Kings immediately after the break.

The Nuggets have been quite mediocre against the spread on the year, however. Denver is just 31-34 ATS, which is a cover rate just south of 48 percent. The team has fared better in that regard of late, however, with successful covers in three of four entering tonight’s clash in the California capital.

Sacramento Kings

As usual, the Kings are dealing with some drama. Sacramento blew a 20-point lead in Monday’s loss to the Knicks in a game they wound up losing by 16. The Kings are just 2-7 over their last nine games, which isn’t what the team had in mind when it made some splashy moves before the trade deadline. Domantas Sabonis, Donte DiVincenzo, and Jeremy Lamb haven’t helped the Kings turn things around just yet.

Tonight, the Kings will try to get back into the win column without Sabonis. Sacramento’s new All-Star center was suspended by the NBA for tonight’s game after making physical contact with an official in the loss to New York the other night. The Kings are also expected to be without backup center Richaun Holmes, which leaves Sacramento incredibly shorthanded up front.

With Jokic looming on the other side of this matchup, being down a couple of quality rotation bigs certainly isn’t ideal for Alvin Gentry’s squad. With Sabonis and Holmes both out, Gentry will likely resort to Damian Jones and Alex Len in an attempt to slow Denver’s MVP. Jones and Len both have the size to match Jokic, but neither has the defensive quality. As a result, it could be a long night for the Kings’ thin center rotation.

With Sabonis out, De’Aaron Fox will have an awful lot on his plate offensively. Fox leads Sacramento in usage (30.5 percent) with all of Sabonis, Tyrese Haliburton, Marvin Bagley, and Buddy Hield off the floor this season. Sacramento also has Jeremy Lamb and Moe Harkless both questionable for this one, which could leave Gentry’s wing rotations even more shorthanded.

Sacramento (31-36) has been even worse against the spread than Denver so far this season. The Kings have covered in four of their last six games, including one cover in the two meetings with the Nuggets late last month. The Kings are 0-3 straight-up against the Nuggets this season, with two of those defeats coming by at least 10 points.

Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings NBA Game Pick

Given the Kings’ issues with injuries and a notable suspension, the Nuggets look like a good bet to complete their series sweep of Sacramento tonight. I don’t think the Kings had anyone capable of stopping Jokic even with Sabonis and/or Holmes in the lineup.

Please Note:
The absence of both doesn’t move the needle too much further in the Nuggets’ direction, but Jokic should still find very little resistance against the likes of Jones, Len, or whoever else Gentry attempts to throw his way.

Betting on NBA games isn’t typically that cut-and-dry, but it seems simple enough here. With nobody capable of giving Jokic any issues defensively, I’d expect the Kings to struggle mightily to keep pace with the Nuggets’ offense. Bet Denver to win and cover the 6.5-point margin on the road in this one.

Denver Nuggets (-6.5)

Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Recap

  • Moneyline: Nuggets -242, Kings +202
  • Point Spread: Nuggets -6.5 (-110), Kings +6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 238.5 points (-110), Under 238.5 points (-110)
  • Pick: Nuggets -6.5 (-110)


Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.

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