Denver Nuggets (37-30) at Los Angeles Lakers (30-36)
Remember playing the video game NBA JAM in the nineties? When you made a couple of shots in a row, and your player lit on fire, and it didn’t matter where you jacked up your shots from they would go in? That’s how I feel right now picking NBA bets.
We have won ten out of our last eleven games. Last night was the definition of being on fire and chucking up a bad shot knowing that it was going to go in. I took the Houston Rockets playing on the back end of a back to back against a Greg Popovich coached San Antonio Spurs team. And I laid -12-points.
I predicted that the Rockets might win this game by twenty-five points. Looking back on it, even after we won, it seems like a longshot. But we absolutely nailed this pick. The Rockets dominated this game from the tip and ran the lead up to as high as, you got it, twenty-five points, before they eventually showing a little mercy and benched Chris Paul and James Harden for most of the fourth quarter.
Coach Pop doesn’t care at all what you or the media thinks, and I was sure this was going to be a situation where he wasn’t going to try and compete. Four minutes into the game Pop called a timeout and benched his entire starting five. Not many coaches in league history have had the courage to make a move like that.
We will look to keep the hot streak alive tonight as we look at the matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Denver Nuggets will travel to Los Angeles Tuesday night to face the Lakers. Denver finds itself in a four-way tie with the Clippers, Jazz, and Spurs at the bottom of the Western Conference playoff picture and could badly use a win tonight to help separate themselves from the pack.
The Lakers look like a completely different team since picking up superstar Isaiah Thomas at the trade deadline, and while they are a longshot to make the playoffs, they are still playing hard at the moment. The Nuggets are -2-point road favorites.
The game total over-under is set at 230 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM PST from the Staples Center.
The Denver Nuggets are fake playoff contenders this year. They are currently in a four-way tie for the 7-10 seeds in the Western Conference, but of that group, they are the longest shots to make the playoffs by a wide margin.
Why, you ask? Well, they can’t win on the road. Like, at all. This Denver team has been able to prop its record up by being a very good home team, and by a scheduling quirk that has seen them play more home games than any other team in the NBA so far this season.
Well, that quirk is coming back to bite them right now at the worst possible time. The Nuggets play eight out of their next nine-games on the road. This stretch will likely be the straw that breaks the camel back for the Nuggets playoff run this year. The Nuggets are just 11-20 on the road this year.
That is significantly worse than all of the other prospective playoff teams this season. The Nuggets have near identical road records as the Sacramento Kings and the Phoenix suns.
Yet somehow, they are road favorites tonight. Would you back the Suns or Kings on the road? If the answer is no, then why would you want to back this Denver team away from home?
If the season were starting right now and the Lakers had this current roster, they would very likely be a playoff team in the Western Conference this year. This team is packed full of young talent and was only one-star player away from being relevant.
When they picked up Isaiah Thomas at the trade deadline that was the missing piece and this team has been very competitive ever since the move. The Lakers looked especially good against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game as they blew out Lebron and the Cavs 127-113.
Every once in a while, you stumble across an NBA line that just doesn’t make any sense at all. That is what happened to me with this number. This Lakers team has won seven out of its last nine games and is a completely different team than they were earlier in the season. They are coming off a rare night off at home, after a big blowout win against a hated rival. And they get to host a team in, the Denver Nuggets, that is laughable on the road.
I just don’t get it. I would think the Lakers would be -2 or -3-point favorites in this game. Yet, I get to back the home team tonight getting two points? What’s not to like?
This Denver team just lost to the Mavericks on the road last week. The Mavericks! I fully expect the Lakers to win this game at home and I am not even sure it is going to be all that close. But the money line isn’t all that attractive so I will take the two-point insurance policy instead.
Give me the Los Angeles Lakers getting +2-points tonight from the Staples Center.