Denver Nuggets (40-34) at Toronto Raptors (54-20)
Will we ever lose again? That is the question we are asking ourselves right now as we just can’t seem to stop winning! We won again last night when we backed the New York Knicks against the Charlotte Hornets. It was a tough spot to back a team as bad as the Knicks on the road, playing the back end of a back to back, no less.
But I just knew that Charlotte should never be double-digit favorites against anybody. So, I backed the Knicks and sat back and watched as this game was even all afternoon long, before eventually ending up in overtime. Kemba Walker went insane in the extra period and tried to spoil our cover, but in the end, we snuck out of Charlotte with the cover, with a 137-128 final score.
Walker scored eleven points and assisted on two other baskets in the extra period and reminded everyone why the Hornets didn’t trade him away at the deadline. This kid has superstar potential and should be the building block the Hornets build around as they look to the future. We are now 17-3-1 in our last twenty-one games. What a finish to the regular season!
We look to stay hot today as we break down the matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Toronto Raptors.
The Denver Nuggets will travel to Toronto Tuesday night to face the league’s best home team, the Raptors. The Nuggets played last night and got blown out on the road against the Philadelphia 76ers, 123-104. The Nuggets road struggles have been well documented, and they will need a huge effort tonight to break through against an elite home team in the Raptors.
Toronto is looking to close out the regular season as the number one seed in the Eastern Conference, they currently hold a three and a half game lead over a reeling Celtics team for that top spot. The Raptors are -9-point home favorites. The game total over-under is set at 226.5 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 4:30 PM PST from the Air Canada Centre.
If you read my daily picks with any kind of regularity, you will know that I love to bet against the Denver Nuggets on the road. They are absolutely terrible on the road this year. The fact that they are a very good home team and managed to run up a decent overall record by winning at home at a high rate has fooled many bettors into thinking they are as good as their record is.
Well, they aren’t. They are about as good on the road as teams like the Phoenix Suns and Sacramento Kings.
So, when Denver plays on the road, I tend to jump on the other side and have done so very profitably over the course of the season. Today is like a perfect storm of Denver Nugget’s hate. They are forced to play on the road back to back nights. That is tough for teams that are good on the road.
And oh yeah, did I mention they are playing against the best home team in the NBA? And one more thing, they are going to be without their leading scorer, Gary Harris too. All of that adds up to what feels like a bloodbath tonight in Toronto.
I don’t really need to say much about the Toronto Raptors tonight. But let me say this. They lost in their last home game. They had a rare night off at home to think about it, and I expect them to come out firing tonight.
The Raptors had won eighteen straight games, including beating a Houston Rockets team that nobody in else in the NBA can beat, before a recent 2-3 slide. The Raptors are the prohibitive favorites to lock up the number one seed in the East, with the Celtics losing Kyrie Irving for at least a couple of weeks.
But make no mistake, this team wants to win and lock up that top spot as soon as they can, so they can’t start resting up for the playoffs.
I don’t think this game will be a close one. I rarely expect games in the NBA to be blowouts but this one tonight? It is going to get ugly. The Raptors blew a big lead late against the Clippers in their last game, and I expect that they are going to punish the Nuggets for that tonight.
Even when you look at this one from a situational standpoint, which I love to do, it adds up to blow out. Bad road team playing back to backs against two playoff teams? Home team that had a night off at home the night before? The Raptors might win this one by thirty.
Give me the Toronto Raptors -9-points tonight at home!