We notched an easy win banking on the continuous Sixers roll-over last night as they laid a home egg against Kyrie Irving and the surging Cavaliers. The game was never close as the Cavs got a double-digit halftime lead and cruised to a 114-85 win. It is going to be tough to fade the Sixers hard enough until each of their games starts defaulting to a double digit spread. It’s a tank-tastic situation worth keeping an eye on down the stretch…
For tonight’s pick we will go from fading the worst to (potentially) backing the best. Let’s take a look at tonight’s tricky roadie for the Indiana Pacers as they make their way to the Target Center in Minnesota to visit Kevin Love and the Timberpups.
Today’s Free Pick:
Indiana Pacers -2.5 at Minnesota Timberwolves (Total: 196.5)
Why are the Pacers playing the back end of a back-to-back on the road just two days after the All Star Break while some teams are still awaiting their return to action? That’s an excellent question, and I imagine one’s team brass have passes along to new Commissioner Adam Silver. Regardless, they should still be relatively well-rested and I don’t expect the fatigue to be a huge factor tonight. Either way, it is the old rest vs. rust debate, as the Pacers are on a back-to-back and the T’Wolves hasn’t played since February 12th.
Indiana is a solid 15-9 on the road as opposed to Minnesota’s 15-11 home record. Even more important, Indiana is a reasonable 3-3 this season on zero days rest. This team can smell the top seed within their grasp, and I don’t think it’ll be tough for Frank Vogel to coax a good effort out of his squad tonight.
Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in their last four games at home against teams with a winning record. The Pacers have the best record in the East and the second best record in the NBA, so not just a “team with a winning record” but one of the premier teams in the league. Indiana had a little bit of a weird lull heading into the Break, dropping two of their final four including a gag-job at Orlando and a rare home loss to Dallas (and former coach, Rick Carlisle). I don’t expect the malaise to continue much longer. They were one of the best bets in the NBA in the first half of the season, and I think Indy gets back to their winning ways tonight.