Here’s how advantageous the line we exploited last night was: Steph Curry set an NBA record for the most three-point baskets made in a single game with a staggering 13… and the Pelicans still covered the spread with EASE. We were getting 17 and never had to sweat last night as New Orleans, far from an effective offensive team, kept pace with the Dubs most of the night despite 46 from Steph and a solid, efficient night from KD. The Warriors are 5-2, so proclaiming great danger would be a little hasty, but they are clearly not as good collectively as they were the past two season at this point in the early year.
Elsewhere, the Jazz continue to look dominant with the return of Gordon Hayward, winning their fifth game on the season with a blowout win in Philly (0-6), and the Pacers home/road woes continued with yet another blowout loss away from Bankers Life, a 122-100 pasting in Charlotte. Both the Clippers and Thunder won again easily, and both are 6-1 and co-leaders in the Western Conference. The Rockets also won on the road to move to 4-3, but keep in mind six of their seven games, and all three losses, have been on the road. James Harden is averaging 31.6 ppg and a staggering 12.7 assists to vault his name back into the MVP conversation.
We are trying to stay in the MVP race too – pushing the record to a sparkling 11-3 ATS with last night’s easy winner. There are only six games on the slate tonight, but if you get sick of Election Coverage (and if you aren’t already) you have a nice, safe, happy place to land with games like Hawks @ Cavs to keep you occupied.
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Today’s Free Pick:
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings -4.5
The Kings snapped a four game losing skid, all losses ATS as well, with a win in Toronto in their last outing, but after five straight road games, they return back home, where in the Boogie Era, they have actually been a pretty good basketball team. Even better for the Kings, they get to host a NOT very good basketball team, the 0-7 Pelicans. EVEN BETTER than THAT, the Pelicans are the only team of the 14 playing tonight who also played last night, making them on the backend of the dreaded NBA road back-to-back.
This one requires less statistical analysis than usual. Bad team on the road against a decent home team on the backend of a back-to-back and I only have to eat four points?? Yes, please.
Aside from the wager, this is an odd treat of a basketball game. It isn’t often in the history of the sport where you could say the two best big men in the NBA are going head-to-head and NEITHER team has a realistic shot at making the playoffs. That just doesn’t happen often. The teams may be subpar, but Boogie and The Brow is worth tuning in for. AD may get the better of Boogie on the stat sheet, but Davis doesn’t have the supporting cast, namely a Rudy Gay as a #2, to back him up.
Look for Sacramento to take advantage of the home crowd and a tired Pelican squad en route to a comfortable home win.