I did not love the value I saw last night, but I still managed to make one of the best picks on the board by backing the Raptors (-9.5, -110) to cover at home against the Charlotte Hornets. Charlotte’s road woes and a lack of support around Kemba Walker had me buying into Toronto and it worked out beautifully.
It’s a good thing I went there, too, seeing as the Celtics lost to the Magic at home and the Bucks let the Knicks hang around as well. Regardless, I am always happy to get a win and that lifts me to a strong 4-1 to start the new NBA season.
As I’ve said before, I cover the Eastern Conference only here at The Sports Geek, so I am looking at just the one option; Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistons.
This is actually a tough one to call as I write this, as two huge stars in Ben Simmons (back) and Andre Drummond (illness) are slated to be game-time decisions. That’s going to make picking this game difficult and no matter what my end result is, I’d suggest waiting until you have concrete information to wager if you plan on betting hard.
With that, let’s go with what we know and see what the best play is for this game:
Philadelphia 76ers (-2, -110) @ Detroit Pistons (+2, -110) Total: 218 (-110)
I prepped this post early in the morning and waited long enough to hear the news that Ben Simmons (back) is doubtful to suit up. Considering this is a road game against a decent Pistons team that tends to play well at home, I’m jumping on the Pistons here.
You can still consider Philly ATS, but they were not nearly as focused on the road last year and we saw that in a loss at TD Garden to start the season this year. Now that they don’t have their main guy to create offense and score inside, I think they could be in some trouble. The Pistons have defensive upside in this matchup now and were a very solid 25-16 at home a year ago.
Detroit has looked pretty good (2-0) to start the year and they’ll be looking to exploit Philly’s weakness here. The big kicker for me is the fact that most basketball betting sites have taken this bet down. GTbets is one of the few that has not opted to do so yet and Detroit is still a healthy +110 straight up underdog at home.
Obviously the home team as a dog is always going to look attractive, but when their opponent is missing such a big piece to their offensive puzzle, you need to pounce. Andre Drummond is still not 100% and may also sit this one out, but until we catch word there, I’m not sure we can balk at this kind of value.
This is a tiny three-game slate and this spread is tight and favors the home team. I’m going to pounce on the Pistons at +110 and hope Drummond suits up to keep Detroit at full strength.