Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings – NBA Betting Pick Dec 27

Phoenix (1-1) at Sacramento (2-0)


Phoenix holds a 137-98 advantage on the Kings after Saturday Night’s 106-103 win in Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. The Kings have won six of the last nine in the series as Phoenix hasn’t won back-to-back games in the series since the 2017-18 season. The series started in 1968 when the Kings were then known as the Cincinnati Royals.

Vs. The Spread

The Suns check in at 9-1 ATS in their last ten games while the total has gone OVER in four of Phoenix’s last five road games. The total has seen the OVER in 10 of Sacramento’s last 14 home games, but the UNDER has been the play in six of the last eight matchups between the Kings and Suns. The Kings are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games vs. the Western Conference.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Suns -3 (-110) -150 O 226 (-107)
Kings +3 (-110) +130 U 226 (-113)

Last Time Out

Sunday evening’s game is the second of a Suns-Kings back-to-back as the NBA scheduled these in the same city this season as another way to hopefully add to COVID-19 protocol.

Sacramento crept by Phoenix, 106-103, on Saturday evening as this marked the Suns’ first loss since their 8-game winning streak in the Orlando Bubble during the summer. De’Aaron Fox had 24 points and seven assists as the Kings held the Suns to 41.8 percent from the floor. Phoenix was also 11-of-44 from behind the arc as the Suns missed their first 16 triples. Devin Booker led the Suns with 26 while Chris Paul checked in with 22 points and 11 assists.

Keeping the Kings Anointed

Sacramento Kings LogoShutting Fox and Buddy Hield down off the dribble is a must as that is helping Sacramento set up Harrison Barnes and Marvin Bagley, Jr., inside. Fox is 15-of-24 from the floor in his first two and Hield leads the Kings with seven threes. Hield had a game-winning tip-in on opening night as they Kings shaded the Nuggets, 124-122, in overtime. The Kings currently only shoot 27.8 percent from three over the first two and like any NBA team, they have that outside firepower which can carry them on a night when they paint game is not as relevant.

How the Suns Can Rise

Phoenix Suns LogoThe Kings are looking to force more turnovers while thinning out their own turnover issues as they have averaged 16 per game. Playing cleaner on the perimeter would allow what looks like a solid offense to potentially sustain or play around 115 points per game. Devin Booker is an issue for the Kings as he averages 29.3 points and eight assists in his last six vs. Sacramento. Chris Paul’s presence will help bolster the Suns on both sides of the ball as well, but he should help to solidify the defense on the perimeter. Paul led the NBA in clutch scoring last season as he scored 150 points in 168 minutes when the margin was five points on either side of the scoreboard. Jae Crowder is a tough matchup and a high priority on opponents’ game plans after he received a trade from Miami on Feb. 6. He shot 44.5 percent from the floor and made 2.9 triples.

Winner: Suns (-3) 112, Kings 108
Over-Under: Take UNDER 226

The Bets
Phoenix Suns -3
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.