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Pistons vs. Bucks Pick NBA – Nov 23rd

We notched another winner, though it is getting hard to flex about being right about Golden State. So, yeah, the Warriors won and covered, thought the eleven point lay almost got problematic as the Nuggets narrowed the deficit a bit in garbage time. Alas, the win is ours; the second straight single-possession cover I’ve gotten from Golden State in the last four days.

The Warriors are off tonight, home to rest up to keep pushing the boundaries of what is possible in professional basketball, so we will look elsewhere for our victory. There are a bunch of good games on the schedule today, highlighted by the Thunder at the Jazz and the streaking Knicks at the Miami Heat.

We will focus our attention to a less glamorous game tonight, but will hope the win makes up for the lack of intrigue.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Detroit Pistons -2 at Milwaukee Bucks

Greg Monroe gets a visit from his old mates tonight in Milwaukee in a battling of promising teams who are still searching for their footing. Detroit started the season like world-beaters and has since regressed to the norm in quick fashion. Meanwhile, everyone who expected Milwaukee to take the “nest step” this season (a few ‘experts’ picked them to win the East – ridiculous), is still waiting, albeit a little less patiently. The Bucks are 5-8 and have been a pretty big disappointment. However, Jabari Parker is working into shape after missing last season and Giannis looks like he could be an All Star.

So who has the edge tonight? I have cited the Pistons terrible shooting percentages and efficieny several times this year, and have lost both times. However, shooting just above 40% is not a recipe for success. However, the Bucks defense, once a formidable strength, has transformed into a glaring weakness. They are allowing a dreadful 105.2 per 100 possessions on 46.2% shooting, both near the bottom in the league.

I’ll lend a little credence to the consistent lineup argument for the Bucks. They have played a ton of lineups trying to get bodies healthy, but they are finally getting healthy. Their last three games were an abomination, especially the road game at Indy their last time out. Milwaukee allowed 68 points in the second half.

Being home makes a big difference in the NBA. So does some time to rest and recoup. Milwaukee has both in their favor tonight and are facing one of the least-efficient offenses in the NBA. I have a slight fear of Andre Drummond grabbing ten offensive boards and blowing all analytics to hell, but I’ll still take Milwaukee at home. They have better offensive talent and are the better team once they iron out some issues on the defensive end. No better time to start re-forging that identity than tonight. Detroit has dropped five of their last seven. They’ve lost three straight in the Bradley Center over the past two seasons as well.

Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +2