My personal NBA slide continued yesterday, taking the shine off an otherwise great overall wagering day (3-1 ATS, two underdog winners straight-up – the NBA pick being the lone loss). I feel a bit like the Pacers lately; it just isn’t quite clicking with the NBA picks. This is my fourth year writing daily for thesportsgeek.com and I haven’t had a losing basketball season yet, so I’m confident we will right the ship before playoff time and have a nice postseason run like last year, but it’s definitely time to kick it into gear!
So let’s get after it today by taking a look at an absolutely fascinating game on TNT tonight between the visiting Rockets and the Brooklyn Nets.
Tonight’s Free Pick:
Houston Rockets at Brooklyn Nets -3 (Total: 209.5)
Something has to give tonight. The Rockets have beaten the Nets 13 straight times overall. The Brooklyn Nets are looking to set a new franchise record with their 14th straight home win tonight. Those are two powerful and imposing streaks and one of the will come to a conclusion tonight.
So which one ceases tonight at the Barclays Center?
There are a ton of things to like about the Brooklyn Nets and the (GASP!) possible Coach of the Year Jason Kidd. They’ve come a long way since the botched water spill attempt several months ago. In fact, since the All Star break they’ve been the best team in the East and their veterans appear well enough rested for one last Playoff run. They’ve gone 22-14 ATS at home this season and have a winning record at home against teams over .500.
However, in their last five home wins they haven’t exactly faced stellar competition. They’ve beaten Boston, Cleveland, and Minnesota, and given up a ton of points in the process. In fact, they’ve allowed over 95 points in every one of their last 10 games. That means they are going to have to score a bunch tonight to win, even if Houston doesn’t dress Dwight Howard, which appears likely.
Houston scores a TON, but they aren’t the stingiest on defense either. Houston averages 107 points per game, but gives up more than 100 a night as well. It feels like a recipe for a bunch of points and the winner flirting with 110.
Houston has gone over in six straight games when they’ve had two days rest, and Brooklyn has gone over in five straight games overall. I like the scoring barrage from both teams to continue and a nice, exciting game in the 100’s. If Dwight sits, I like the Nets to snap their 13-game losing streak to the Rockets, but whether he plays or not, I like the OVER. I’m making that my official play tonight.