Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans – NBA Betting Pick for April 12

Kings (22-31, 10-16 road) at Pelicans (23-39, 15-13 home)

  • Time: 5PM PST – 7PM CST – 8PM EST
  • Place: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
  • TV: NBC Sports California | Bally Sports New Orleans | NBA League Pass

Opening Tip

The 11-seed New Orleans Pelicans host the 12-seed Sacramento Kings as these are the next two teams in line for the play-in games in the Western Conference. New Orleans is one game off of the 10-seed Golden State Warriors while the Kings are three out of 10th.

Sacramento has lost six in a row with five of those six being by double digits. The Kings play three of the next four games on the road while the Wizards visit on Wednesday.

New Orleans is 3-4 over its last seven games as the Pelicans have won two in a row. The Pelicans are 3-8 on the second game of a back-to-back this season.

The Pelicans won, 128-123, at Sacramento on Jan. 17, Sacramento returned the favor in a 118-109 win over New Orleans at Smoothie King Center on Feb. 1.

Zion Williamson is averaging 24 points per game and has made 67.9 percent of his shots in those two games while Kings dynamo.

Key Injuries

  • Sacramento KingsMarvin Bagley (hand) – OUT
  • New Orleans PelicansNickel Alexander-Walker (ankle), Lonzo Ball (hip), Josh Hart (thumb) – OUT

Kings (23-30, ATS):

  • The Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 6 SacTown outings
  • The Kings are 5-11 SU in their last 16 road appearances

Pelicans (24-29, ATS):

  • New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in it’s last 7 games
  • The OVER has been the play in 5 of the last 7 Pelicans games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the last 9 Pelicans-Kings games

Last Time Out

Sacramento trailed 111-109 with a little over four minutes to play, but the Utah Jazz went on a quick 12-0 run to hand the Kings their sixth loss in a row, 128-112. De’Aaron Fox led Sacramento with 30 points while Richaun Holmes netted 25.

The New Orleans Pelicans rallied past Cleveland, 116-109, behind 38 points from Zion Williamson. He made 16-of-22 field goals while scoring 25 first-half points as he fell a point short of his career-high of 39. Brandon Ingram had 27 points and eight assists.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Kings +2.5 (-110) +120 O 233 (-110)
Pelicans -2.5 (-110) -140 U 233 (-110)

Advantage, Sacramento

Sacramento Kings LogoThe Kings are ninth in the NBA in scoring at 114.3 points per game and with their defensive deficiencies, they are going to have to score the ball at a high percentage to break the six-game slide in New Orleans. De’Aaron Fox has been a handful for the Pelicans as he has posted 40.5 points per game and 12.5 rebounds while shooting 60.8 percent from the floor in the two meetings. Buddy Hield and Harrison Barnes need big games from the perimeter as well as New Orleans’ three-point defense is last in the NBA, allowing 39.2 percent per night. Hield takes around 11 threes per game and makes 38.5 percent of those.

Key Kings Stat

Fox is stellar off the dribble in taking 13.2 twos per game while taking 7.0 free throws per contest and making 71.2 percent. He will be a tough cover for New Orleans as opponents find 26.3 assists per game (28th/NBA) vs. the Pels.


Fox just dominates the news in a tough Kings season. He now has scored 10 or more points in the fourth quarter 13 times and is ranked first in the NBA in fourth-quarter scoring. He has scored over 20 points in a game 42 times this season.

Advantage, New Orleans

New Orleans Pelicans LogoZion Williamson, who else? Everyone goes to the paint on Sacramento as the Kings allow an average of 31.4 made twos, last in the NBA and opponents make 54.2 percent of their twos (25th/NBA). Brandon Ingram (23.8 ppg, 5.0 apg) also makes money inside the arc as he finds 11.7 twos per game and makes 51.3 percent of those. Williams and Steven Adams are major in the Pelicans finding 15-second chance points per game as they are currently tied with Portland for second in the league in that category.

Key Pelicans Stat:

Williamson has been productive when coach Stan Van Gundy chooses to use him as a point forward where he can play make. He has an assist percentage of 18.3 which ranks him in the 90th percentile of all bigs in the NBA.


Steven Adams is a veteran presence in the post that is a good complement to Williamson as he gets 10.9 points and 9.3 rebounds in around 26 minutes. Adams has lead New Orleans in rebounding 39 times this season while logging 22 double-doubles.

Winner: Pelicans (-2.5) 122, Kings 117

The Bets
New Orleans Pelicans -2.5
New Orleans Pelicans
OVER 233
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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