Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat Pick – NBA March 28, 2022

The Sacramento Kings and Miami Heat are on the floor at the FTX Arena on Monday night. Miami is looking for a team to beat up on to get their confidence back.

Tensions appear high in the Heat locker room, and they’re currently on a four-game losing streak. There has been discontent between the Heat locker room personnel, and the losses are piling up.

On Wednesday, Jimmy Butler and head coach Erik Spoelstra had to be separated in a 118-104 loss to the Golden State Warriors. Haslam got involved with Butler on the bench as well Since then, they have lost two games and are on a four-game losing streak.

The New York Knicks looked like a good bounce-back for the Heat on Friday, but they lost that one, 111-103, and followed up with a 110-95 loss to the Brooklyn Nets the next day on a back-to-back.

Despite the problems recently, the Heat are 47-28 and in a tie with the Boston Celtics for the lead in the Eastern Conference. It was nice when they had the lead to themselves, but they’re still in a good spot.

Sacramento has nothing to look forward to the rest of the season, as they enter Miami with a record of 27-48. Kings fans continue to go through frustrations with this team.

They didn’t have a bad team on paper going into the 2021-22 season. However, little has translated to the court, where the Kings have been losers often.

It opened up the door to sell at the deadline, which didn’t play out too favorably with Kings fans when they sent Tyrese Haliburton to Indianapolis. Domantas Sabonis is a fine player, but not what many were looking for in exchange for Haliburton.

In any case, the Kings have a small bit of momentum going into Miami with a 110-109 win over the Pacers and 114-110 in overtime against the Orlando Magic two days back.

Credit the Kings for forcing overtime against the Phoenix Suns before beating the Pacers as well. They lost 127-124, but it was a valiant attempt, and they didn’t come up lazy versus Indiana.

Head below for our free Kings vs. Heat prediction on March 28, 2022.

Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of MyBookie:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Sacramento Kings +13 (-110) +655 Over 216.5 (-110)
Miami Heat -13 (-110) -910 Under 216.5 (-110)
Team Data Sacramento Kings Miami Heat
Overall Record 27-48 47-28
ATS Record 36-38-1 40-34-1
Away/Home Record 11-25 26-12
ATS Away/Home 17-18-1 18-20-0
Points Per Game 110.5 109.1
Points Against Per Game 115.7 105.2
Field Goal % 45.9 46.2
Three Point % 34.5 37.2

Kings vs. Heat Prediction:

The Kings may not be the best team, but at least they’re putting some effort forth recently. You can’t say the same about the Heat.

There has been little effort from the Heat during their slump. Much of that has to be because of team morale.

The good news for the Heat is that it doesn’t have to take much for things to start going well again. If they get this losing out of their system before the playoffs, maybe it can be turned into a positive.

Kyle Lowry isn’t a player I’d like to be up against in the playoffs. Watch out for him getting going, but he also needs Jimmy Butler to come through.

The Heat have been just okay offensively this season. They have scored 109.1 points per game for 17th in the NBA. Going into tonight, the Heat are connecting at a 46.2% clip.

Miami is a defensive-minded team, but even that has been failing them recently. The Heat have surrendered 112 points per game on 48.1% shooting in their previous five attempts.

Overall, they’re 4th with 105.2 points against a game on 44.6% shooting. Sacramento might look like a good spot for them to get back to basics, but the Heat’s recent work would suggest otherwise.

Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat Betting Trends:

  • 4-0-1 ATS in their previous five games on the road
  • 7-2-1 ATS in their previous ten games as an underdog
  • 4-1-1 ATS in their previous six games versus a team with a winning record at home
  • 5-2-1 ATS in their previous eight games
  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games versus the Heat
  • 0-7 ATS in their previous seven games
  • 0-6 ATS in their previous six games at home
  • 2-7 ATS in their previous nine games versus the Kings
  • 0-6 ATS in their previous six games as a betting favorite
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a losing record

The Kings have scored around the same as the Heat this season. They’ve scored 110.5 points per game and a 45.9% field goal percentage. Their ineffective defense allows 115.7 points per game, which is the difference between a 47-28 and 27-48 team.

At least the Kings have been putting in the work and some effort recently. The same can’t be said for the Heat, who look all out of sorts. Miami may pick up a much-needed win, but laying 13 points with this team in their current form isn’t advised.

The Kings and Heat last six meetings have been decided by 8 points or less, including a 115-113 Kings win on January 2. I will side with the double-digit road underdog and expect the Kings to keep this one within 13 points.


Kings vs. Heat Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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