Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick – NBA March 29, 2021

The Sacramento Kings are on the road after a successful three-game homestand. Following a win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, 119-105, on March 22, the Kings went back home to California and won three straight games against the Hawks, 110-108, Warriors, 141-119, and Cavaliers in a rematch, 100-98. The Kings will look to make it a five-game winning streak against the Spurs in San Antonio on Monday night. Along with four straight wins, the Kings are winners in six of their previous seven outings.

Their best win was a 107-96 win over the Celtics, and that blowout of the Warriors, 141-119. That win against Golden State was an incredibly impressive performance. De’Aaron Fox had a career night, as he poured in 44 points and 7 assists. Richaun Holmes was in standout form as well, with 25 points and 11 rebounds in the winning effort. Bad teams are good at letting up in their next game after a performance like that. However, the Kings were able to avoid a dreaded letdown spot and beat the Cavaliers again.

I will say that the effort was vastly different, but the Kings still figured it out for a 100-98 win at home. The Kings head to Texas with a record of 21-25. They are on the road for two games against the Spurs, and then return home for meetings against the Lakers and Bucks. The Kings did not set out to tank at the trade deadline. They could have traded Buddy Hield and Harrison Barnes, but opted to hold onto them. Hield is currently on a four-year deal and scheduled to be a UFA in 2024. If Hield doesn’t complain about playing for the Kings, he’s going to stick in Sacramento.

This is a team heading in the right direction, so Hield might want to stay around. The Western Conference is so tough, but look at what’s happened to the Phoenix Suns. They became a serious contender in quick order. That was because the Suns learned how to play defense, and it’s exactly what needs to happen in Sacramento. The Kings can score, but the defense has left a lot to be desired. In any case, we’ve seen them step up during this four-game winning streak, so we’ll see if it continues in San Antonio. The Spurs ended a four-game losing streak with a 120-104 win over the Chicago Bulls on Saturday. Head below for our free Kings vs. Spurs pick on March 29, 2021.

Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Kings +2.5 ( -110)
  • Spurs -2.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Kings +120
  • Spurs -140
Total:

  • Over 228 (-110)
  • Under 228 (-110)

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Kings vs. Spurs Prediction:

The Kings have been an efficient offense that has worked the ball around well. They are seventh in the NBA with 114.8 points per game. Sacramento can shoot the ball at a 48.4% clip for sixth in the league. The one downfall for this Kings team is their free-throw shooting, though. That aspect of their game has been anemic, and opened up the door for close losses. They’re shooting just 73.2% from the charity stripe for 29th. Conversely, the Spurs are hitting their freebies at a 78.5% clip for tenth in the league. Those points add up at the end of a game.

While the offense has clicked for the Kings this season, their effort defensively puts a lot of pressure on them to shoot extremely well every night. The Kings are 29th with 118.6 points conceded per game. Opponents are connecting at a high percentage, with a 48.9% from the field for the best field goal percentage in the NBA.

Through their last five games, they’ve held up well with an average of 111.8 points conceded per game. However, the opponent list isn’t the most daunting. Besides the 76ers, who torched them for 129 points, they weren’t dealing with elite offenses. Note that the win over Golden State was minus Stephen Curry.

The Spurs are 22nd in the NBA with 109.4 points scored per game. While they trend behind the Kings in that regard, their defense has been much more active. The Spurs have a top-10 defense with 110.2 points conceded per game. Their opponents this evening don’t get too many second chance opportunities.

The Kings are 27th in offensive rebounding. Rebounding has been a problem for the Spurs, but the Kings don’t like to crash the boards much. I don’t expect them to be too interested in playing physical basketball after a successful stretch at home. In their first outing on the road in a week, expect this to be the letdown from the Kings you might have been waiting for. On a short number at home, I like the Spurs to edge out a five or six-point win.

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Our Bet
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.