We had a rough night last night, dropping both of our NBA picks. Also getting dropped last night were the Oklahoma City Thunder. You have to feel for Kevin Durant who played fantastic but had several misses and turnovers in the final minutes of several key games, including a missed shot last night with four seconds remaining that would have tied the game. Those mistakes will haunt him during the offseason, but truth be told, it was much more an issue of missing Russell Westbrook than anything else. The Thunder will be back next year and for many years to come, but for now, its Memphis advancing.
By the way, if you jumped on Memphis at 40:1 before the playoffs started, as suggested in my preview column, you were jumping up and down last night, because you are sitting on a potential hedging goldmine…
Let’s get to tonight’s potential elimination games and see if either team will be extending their series, or if we will be getting to the conference finals sooner than expected…
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks -5 (Total: 179)
The Knicks are sitting on the precipice of elimination, in large part because of the terrible play of JR Smith. He is shooting 28% from the floor in the series and his shot selection is horrendous. Without their second offensive option, the series has basically fallen on the shoulders of Carmelo Anthony. Paul George has done an admirable defensive job on him, and the Indiana supporting case has been significantly better all series.
The Knicks are at home tonight, which should give them a boost, but through four games, they have still only been better than the Pacers for about a quarter and a half. I think Indiana has a good chance to close the Knicks out tonight and get a little rest before the Miami series. I imagine they’ll need it.
Free Pick: Indiana Pacers +5
San Antonio Spurs -2 at Golden State Warriors (Total: 194.5)
It appears Vegas has lost faith in the Warriors, and after two nights ago performance, it is a fair sentiment. The Spurs looked like the poised veteran team that had made all the necessary adjustments, while the Warriors looked like a young team that had run out of gas, especially given the insane amount of minutes Curry and Thompson have had to play to make up for the loss of David Lee.
However, I am not 100% sure I am ready to give up them. They are still 8-3 ATS in the Playoffs, and still have one of the better home court advantages in the entire league. Curry says his ankle is fine and he’ll be ready to go tonight. The problem is that he has shot under 38% from the floor since his Game One star performance. The trend says he is in trouble, but I’m going to bank on him gearing up for a big performance and at least one explosive six to eight minute run with a big point flurry. I think it’ll be enough to give us the lone Game Seven on the second round.
Free Pick: Golden State Warriors +2