Suns at Warriors – NBA Pick for February 12th

Phoenix Suns (18-39) at Golden State Warriors (43-13)

The betting line information used for this article was taken from at 7:30 AM PST on 2-12-18. Some odds may have changed.

We came up short last night when we took the Memphis Grizzlies on the road against a very short-handed Oklahoma City Thunder team. I liked the +7.5-point line because I was fairly certain that Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony would both be sitting out. Not many teams can lose two players of that caliber and still be competitive.

Well, both players did sit out, but even that wasn’t enough to make up for the garbage can fire of a team that Memphis is trotting out these days. The Thunder had a huge first quarter and jumped out to a 17-point lead and just rode that lead the rest of the way out. Paul George enjoyed playing the alpha dog role, even if it’s just for one night, and scored 33 points in the Thunder 110-92 victory. Today we will break down the matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Golden State Warriors.

The Phoenix Suns will travel to Oakland Monday night to face the defending champion Golden State Warriors. The Suns have a new look lineup as they pulled the trigger on some trades at the deadline and will also be playing without a couple of their starters as they are expected to sit out with injury.

Golden State is in cruise control at the moment as they hold the NBA’s best record and are huge favorites to bring another title to Oakland. The Warriors are huge -15.5-point favorites tonight. The game total over-under is set at 232.5 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM PST from the Oracle Arena.

The Golden State Warriors just celebrated Steve Kerr winning his 250th game as head coach. Seems a little fast right? Kerr is the fastest to 250 wins in any major sport in U.S. history. Quite simply the Warriors are elite and continue to win games at a record pace under Kerr.

With key injuries to the Spurs and Celtics and a dysfunctional situation in Cleveland, I am not sure anyone is going to be able to give the Warriors much competition for the title this season. Yeah, the Rockets have a nice squad, and the Raptors look good, but let’s be honest here, this is Golden State’s title to lose at this point.

The Warriors seem motivated to win these last two games before the All-Star break as well, as Steph Curry has mentioned that he wants to keep the momentum going into the break. A motivated Golden State team? They could beat any other team in the league by twenty if they want to. Against an over-matched and short-handed Suns team tonight? This could get really ugly.

The Phoenix Suns aren’t a good team this year when all of their players are healthy. They are competing for the number one pick in next year’s draft, not for a playoff spot this season. They have lost ten out of their last eleven games, and many of those games haven’t even been competitive. They are regularly getting blown out by double digits or more.

To make matters worse tonight, they are likely to be very short handed. Their best player, Devin Booker, is questionable and isn’t expected to play. So, they are without their starting point guard, no big deal, right? Go to your back up Tyler Ulis. But wait, Ulis is expected to miss this game with injury as well.

The Suns are going to be stuck with the newly acquired  Elfrid Payton running the floor. Payton made his Sun’s debut in his last game and actually looked pretty good, going for 19 points and 9 assists. But that wasn’t against Steph Curry and Golden State.

This line opened at Golden State -15-points. The sharp early bettors almost always snatch up the points when you give them that many. Not this time. The line actually quickly moved to -15.5. That is shocking as it is very rare to see sharp bettors laying that kind of wood. But when you look at both team’s recent performances you can see why.

Golden State is beating everyone by double digits right now. And the Suns are getting blown out nightly. And that is when they have their best lineup on the floor! Tonight, playing on the road against the NBA’s best team, missing both of their best guards, I am not sure this game doesn’t end up in a massive blowout. I very rarely lay points like this, but I just don’t see how the Suns are going to be able to stay competitive. The Suns could lose this one by thirty.

Golden State’s second rotation could coast past this bad Phoenix team right now, and I expect that is what is going to happen. I don’t like laying all the wood, but I have no choice but to get on the same side as the sharps, and back the Golden State Warriors as giant favorites tonight. Give me the Warriors -15.5 points in a blowout win tonight.

The Bet: Golden State Warriors -15.5 points

Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL