Thunder vs. Celtics Pick NBA – Nov 12th

The Spurs were a tough team to have any confidence wagering on last night. Whenever they are on the second night of a road back-to-back, you have to be a little cautious putting in a wager until the final moments because you simply don’t know WHEN Coach Pop will decide to toss in the towel and bring out Timmy, Manu and Tony in street clothes. However, they all played last night, and played well, as the Spurs completed the most impressive two-day stretch of this young NBA season. Even by the end of the year not many teams will turn in a more impressive 48-hours than a pair of road wins at the Clippers and Warriors.

It’s been a rough week for me so far, as I’ve given back some early season profits. We will look to get back on the winning path today sifting through some really good games on the NBA schedule. Oh, by the way, one of those good games is NOT the ESPN game. Remember how fun Indiana v. Miami was the past three years?? Yeah, the Chris Copeland v. Luol Deng matchup just doesn’t have quite the same zip…

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Today’s Free Pick:

Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics -5.5 (Total: 197)

You may have heard the Thunder have some injury issues… They limp into Boston 2-6 and 0-5 on the road with losses to three Eastern Conference teams. They play the back-end of a back-to-back tonight fresh off a loss at Milwaukee (they of the worst record in the NBA last year). It’s getting pretty bad in OKC and the hole might wind up being too deep if they don’t stop dropping games they figured to have a chance in (like tonight and last night) even decimated by injury.

Meanwhile, Boston has been a lot better than expected. They are 3-3 with competitive 3 and 5 point losses to Dallas and Toronto and wins over Brooklyn at home and Chicago on the road. This team isn’t great by any stretch, but with Jeff Green scoring the ball and good point guard play from Rondo and Marcus Smart, they can score some points and they can defend. They’ll post a winning record at home this year and might just hang around the bottom of the playoff picture.

OKC is just too hurt right now to win many games, let alone games on the road that are going to require them to score points.   I think Boston will top triple-digits tonight, and I question whether OKC can score that many points against anyone right now. Boston may not be much better overall but they will outscore them tonight. Boston is averaging 106.3 ppg. OKC is barely over 90 (90.3 ppg). That’s a huge discrepancy. Don’t let the names on the jerseys freak you out. Lay the points. Boston is a better team, MUCH better offensively, and they are on three days rest playing at home against an injured, thin team on the back-end of consecutive road games.

Free Pick: Boston Celtics -5.5