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Timberwolves vs. Clippers NBA Pick – December 6th

Last night was a serious disappointment, as the Portland Trail Blazers couldn’t even keep it close against the visiting Washington Wizards. Once a tough out at the Moda Center, Damian Lillard and co. dropped to 7-7 at home this year. Portland could do nothing but watch as Bradley Beal popped off for 51 points in an easy win for the Wiz.

I ate the money (-225) last night due to a lack of reliable picks and felt I had a winner with Portland playing at home against a Wizards team coming in without John Wall. I couldn’t have been more wrong and on Monday I was handed my third straight defeat. I’m still above .500 at 9-8 on the year, but this three-game run is not acceptable.

I’ll understandably be looking to get off the schneid tonight and there will be plenty of opportunities to make that happen on a fun 10-game NBA betting slate.

There are a lot of tricky spreads on this slate, but one game I like is a rematch between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Los Angeles Clippers. Minnesota enters the Staples Center as the -5 favorite at GTbets after downing the Clippers (112-106) just three days ago.

Will the Clippers rise up and get some revenge at home, or will their stripped-down roster fall flat against a superior squad?

Minnesota Timberwolves (-5) @ Los Angeles Clippers (+5) Total: 214

I’d love to get behind the Clippers here, but I’m not sure there’s much evidence to suggest they’ll get the win. They provide fun value (+175) and could keep this game tight just like they did three days prior, but they’re pretty unreliable with Blake Griffin, Patrick Beverley, Danilo Gallinari and Milos Teodosic all on the shelf.

The Clippers admittedly looked fun to start the year, but they’re remarkably unhealthy. The last time these two teams faced off, the only reason it was a game was because Austin Rivers went off with 30 points. That’s tough to imagine happening again, while L.A.’s offense is literally down to just Rivers and Lou Williams jacking up shots from the perimeter.

They both played well in the first meeting, but one will surely draw the defense of Jimmy Butler the second time around. Butler himself (33 points) had himself a game in the first meeting, while the T’Wolves are stacked with Karl-Anthony Towns, Jeff Teague and Andrew Wiggins piecing together a tough offense.

Minnesota is not always a reliable team in the betting world. The Timberwolves are just 4-6 over their last 10 games and are a middling 6-7 on the road. Minnesota also hasn’t been amazing (10-13-2) against the spread and they’re just 2-2-1 ATS when favored on the road.

All of the data in the world can’t get me off of the Timberwolves tonight, though. Minnesota would prefer to play at home, but this is a road game they can win. The Clippers are one of the most banged up teams in the league and they have not been winning with consistency. In fact, Los Angeles has dropped three straight and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Playing at the Staples Center used to be a plus for the Clips, but injuries have bogged them down to the point where they’re just 4-6 on their home floor this season. I don’t trust the Clippers as an elite value and unlike the first meeting, I’m not entirely sure this one stays all that close.

Minnesota covered this spread not even a week ago and I don’t think a change of scenery is going to alter the outcome all that much. In fact, I’d expect Rivers to produce a weaker outing and much of the scoring to fall on Lou Williams. That is not a winning recipe, so provided the Timberwolves don’t show up completely flat, I’ll take them to cover.

Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves (-5)

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