Tonight’s NBA pick focuses on two teams with a ton of young talent, even if they don’t have the wins to substantiate the obvious promise quite yet. Minnesota has been one of the more disappointing teams in the NBA despite the emergence of Wiggins, Towns and Levine as LEGIT NBA players. Philadelphia has been about as expected, still Trusting the Process, although only Joel Embiid has shown the promise Sixer fans dreamed about for the last three years.
Before we get to tonight’s free pick, how about Jimmy Butler last night? The Bulls are in obvious turmoil, but it is hard to fault the notion that they are better without Rajon Rondo. They are the worst team in the league statistically from behind the arc, and even if Mirotic/McDermott can’t guard their collective shadows, SOMETHING had to change. That change worked last night, thanks to the aforementioned Jimmy Butler dropping 52 points, as the Bulls beat the Hornets 118-111 at home.
We owe you guys a winner as it has been a rough stretch with the NBA prognostications. Let’s see if we can reverse the course tonight.
Today’s Free Pick:
Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 at Philadelphia 76’ers
I’ve actually done pretty well playing the Sixers on occasion this season and I am prepared to go back to the well as this game meets a few of my favorite criteria. First, I am getting points at home. Secondly, the road team isn’t very good and has been especially bad on the road both SU and ATS. They are 5-11 away from home in the win/loss column and an almost-as-bad 6-10 ATS away from home.
Meanwhile, Philly is a nice 10-8-1 ATS at home and has shown some real improvement in 2016. The Okafor/Embiid experiment hasn’t been good – they appear to not work well on the floor at the same time, but Ben Simmons is (hopefully) on his way and things are starting to look up in Philly.
The Sixers are actually 3-3 in their last six road games, and now the finally get to return home. Minnesota has more talent and a more dynamic roster, but the Timberwolves have a real penchant for blowing late leads and turning winning wagers into frustration. Don’t be surprised if the exact same story happens tonight. I like Philly at home with a chance to win, but definitely appreciate getting a nice pile of points and home floor against a team with a dismal road record ATS.