Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick – NBA March 27, 2022

The Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks have a Sunday night matchup scheduled at the American Airlines Center. On Friday night, Dallas is coming off a 116-95 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves are a team on the rise, and the Mavericks found out with Luka Doncic on the floor. Expect the Timberwolves to continue to do that against capable opponents down the stretch and into next year.

The Mavericks have lost three of their last five attempts, with one of them coming versus a bad Houston Rockets team at home. They’re going into tonight with wins in six of their previous ten attempts.

I’m probably not going to know what to think of the Mavericks team come playoff time, but they must find more offense. The Mavericks look like they have an offense on paper because of Doncic.

However, that’s the problem with the Mavericks. Doncic can’t save the Mavs every night. There has to be better production elsewhere, especially in the frontcourt from Reggie Bullock and Dorian Finney-Smith.

The Mavericks enter tonight with a respectable record of 45-29. They’re tied with the Jazz for fourth-place in the Western Conference.

Utah is coming off a 107-101 loss to the Charlotte Hornets for their third straight loss. This hasn’t been a picture-perfect year for the Jazz.

They’ve expected more, but maybe it’s for the better after failing in the playoffs following regular season success in the past. Head below for our free Jazz vs. Mavericks prediction on March 27, 2022.

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of MyBookie:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Utah Jazz -1 (-110) -120 Over 214 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks +1 (-110) +100 Under 214 (-110)
Team Data Utah Jazz Dallas Mavericks
Overall Record 45-29 45-29
ATS Record 31-40-3 40-33-1
Away/Home Record 19-18 25-12
ATS Away/Home 15-21-1 20-17-0
Points Per Game 113.5 106.6
Points Against Per Game 104.1 107.6
Field Goal % 47.1 45.6
Three Point % 36.3 34.1

Jazz vs. Mavericks Prediction:

The Jazz had the leading record in the Western Conference at 52-20 last year. That didn’t translate to results in the playoffs, though. They were a tough out in the regular season and then fizzled out.

This average regular season will be forgotten if the Jazz have something saved in the tank for the playoffs. The talent is certainly on this roster, so I wouldn’t discount the Jazz too quickly.

They are tied with the Mavericks for fourth, and I give the Jazz the edge as a more well-rounded team. Dallas doesn’t have a Rudy Gobert to take over in the paint, which makes a big difference in the playoffs.

Utah has a pretty talented backcourt with a healthy Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley Jr. Statistically; the Jazz are ranked in the top-10 defensively and on offense.

The Jazz have scored 113.5 points per game and a 47.1% field goal percentage for the fifth-best mark in the NBA. They do a little of everything well from down low to the outside.

Utah is seventh in three-point percentage at 36.3% and third on the offensive boards led by Gobert. Conversely, the Mavs are 27th in offensive rebounding and 16th in defensive rebounding.

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends:

  • 15-5 overall in their previous 20 games versus the Mavericks
  • 4-9 ATS in their previous 13 games
  • 7-19-2 ATS in their previous 28 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 5-15 ATS in their previous 20 games on the road
  • OVER is 19-9 in their previous 28 games at Dallas
  • 2-4 ATS in their previous six games
  • 7-3 ATS in their previous ten games as an underdog
  • 8-3 ATS in their previous 11 games at home
  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games on a Sunday
  • UNDER is 44-17 in their previous 61 games at home

The Jazz are well balanced, though their defense isn’t as active as it was last year. They are going into this one with 10th in the league with 107.6 points against per game and a 45.3% field goal percentage for 9th.

They are best in the NBA in defensive rebounding, which could be a problem for a Dallas team that doesn’t have a frontcourt to match Gobert. The Mavericks have been ineffective offensively with 106.6 points per game.

They depend on their defense, which is stout with 104.1 points allowed per game, second-best in the NBA. The offense needs to step up and find points from somewhere else than Doncic, though. This isn’t the 2004 Detroit Pistons, a team that got away with focusing exclusively on defense and ball movement.

The trends suggest taking the Mavericks, but the line movement indicates otherwise. The public is riding the Mavs, with some reverse line movement occurring. I’ll go in the opposite direction and side with the more well-rounded team in Texas.


Jazz vs. Mavericks Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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