Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Pick – Game 4

The NBA is set up with another strong slate of basketball on May 24. The Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks will meet up in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday night. These two teams have met in an exciting series so far and will look for a big win in this one. This game will tip off at around 9:00 PM Eastern time on TNT.

Golden State has earned a record of 11-3 throughout the postseason as the third seed in the Western Conference. The Warriors knocked off the Denver Nuggets in five games and the Memphis Grizzlies in six games in the first two rounds. Golden State has dominated this series as well. The Warriors will look to book a spot in the NBA Finals with a win on Tuesday.

The Mavericks have put up a record of 8-8 so far in the playoffs as the fourth seed in the Western Conference. Dallas eliminated the Utah Jazz and the Phoenix Suns to book a spot in the Conference Finals. The Mavericks have fallen down 3-0 in this series and will need a miracle to come back. Dallas will look to take the first step with a win at home in this one.

These two teams have been strong throughout this postseason. The Warriors have dominated this series early and are one game away from an NBA Finals appearance. Dallas has fought back throughout this postseason though and will look to step up in Game 4. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Golden State Warriors +1 (-110) -105 Over 215 ½ (-110)
Dallas Mavericks -1 (-110) -115 Under 215 ½ (-110)

 

Team Data Golden State Warriors Dallas Mavericks
Playoff Record 11-3 8-8
Away/ Home Playoff Record 3-3 5-2
Playoff PPG 114.5 105.3
Playoff PPG Away/ Home 110.2 104.6
Playoff PAPG 108.3 104.5
Playoff PAPG Away/ Home 115.8 95.7

Betting Trends

Golden State Warriors

  • 50-46 ATS this season
  • 12-9 ATS as an underdog
  • 20-27 ATS in road games
  • 7-7 ATS on Tuesday nights
  • 8-6 ATS in Playoffs
  • 5-5 ATS when leading in series
  • 3-6 ATS off an upset win as an underdog
  • 17-15 ATS when allowing 100 points or less
  • 30-21 ATS against team with a winning record

Dallas Mavericks

  • 54-42 ATS this season
  • 30-20 ATS as a favorite
  • 27-19 ATS in home games
  • 5-6 ATS on Tuesday nights
  • 9-7 ATS in Playoffs
  • 4-3 ATS when trailing in series
  • 7-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
  • 19-5 ATS after scoring 100 points or less
  • 33-21 ATS against team with a winning record

These teams have met in a solid three game series so far. Steph Curry put up 21 points and 12 rebounds in Game 1 as the Warriors earned a 112-87 win. Curry dropped 32 points, while Kevon Looney put up 21 points and 12 rebounds as Golden State won Game 2 126-117. Curry scored 31 points and 11 assists in the third game and Andrew Wiggins added 27 points and 11 rebounds. The Warriors won 109-100.

Field Goal Shooting

The Warriors have been strong shooting the ball in the postseason. Golden State has made 50.3 percent of their shots from the field, which is 1st in the remaining field of 4. The Warriors have shot 37.9 percent of their shots from deep, which is also 1st in the playoffs. Golden State has sunk 75.1 percent of their shots from the charity stripe, which is 4th in the postseason.

Dallas has struggled a bit shooting the ball in the playoffs. The Mavericks have been shooting 44.5 percent from the field, which is 4th in the field. Dallas has drained 37.3 percent of their shots from behind the arc, which is 3rd in the postseason. The Mavericks have drained 77.2 percent of their shots from the free throw line, which is 3rd in the playoffs.

Golden State has been the better team shooting the ball in the playoffs, but the Mavericks have been strong on defense. Dallas will look for their defense to take over early in this one as they try to set the tone. The Mavericks will also look to shoot quickly in this one. If either team can come out fast from the field, it could give them the edge for the win.

Top Performers

Steph Curry has been the leader for Golden State on the postseason. Curry has averaged 27.1 points and 5.9 assists per game. Klay Thompson is averaging 19.5 points per game. Jordan Poole has averaged 18.9 points per game, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.9 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Draymond Green has averaged 8 points, 7.1 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game to round out the lineup.

Luka Doncic has been great for the Mavericks on this playoff run. Doncic is averaging 32.1 points, 9.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. Jalen Brunson has averaged 22.7 points per game. Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 13.7 points, while Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 10.9 points per game. Reggie Bullock rounds out the lineup, averaging 10.4 points per game.

These two teams have been led by their stars throughout this postseason. Curry has been great throughout the playoffs and will look to step up in this one. Doncic has been even better and will need some help in this one. If either team can have some players step up early in this one, it could be enough for the win on Tuesday.

Pick Overview

Dallas has been strong throughout the postseason, but find themselves in a 3-0 hole in the Conference Finals. I think that the Mavericks will bounce back at home in Game 4 though. Dallas has a strong lineup and will look to step up early at home. If the Mavericks can settle into this game early and set the pace, I think they can avoid the sweep.

Bovada has Dallas listed as a -1 against the spread in this one. This gives a slight edge to the Mavericks at home. I think that this line is accurate with the Mavericks playing with desperation. Dallas will throw everything they have at Golden State with their season on the line. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Warriors to cover this spread.

The Bet
Dallas Mavericks -1
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

  1. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Warriors to cover this spread. You said Dallas would cover???

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