Warriors vs Nuggets – NBA Pick for February 3rd

Golden State Warriors (41-11) at Denver Nuggets (27-25)

The betting line information used for this article was taken from sportsbetting.ag at 10:30 AM PST on 2-3-18. Some odds may have changed.

We lost last night when we backed the Indiana Pacers on the road against the Charlotte Hornets. Kemba Walker went crazy with 41 points, and the game wasn’t even all that close. The Hornets led the entire way out, and even though the Pacers made it interesting late, they came up short 133-126 getting only three points. It was a bit of a head-scratcher as the Pacers were looking really good and the Hornets were struggling.

Walker has looked fired up recently since getting snubbed for an All-Star appearance and Charlotte is taking advantage of his great play. What can you do? Sometimes you lose games you feel like you should have won.

Today I will focus on the matchup between the NBA’s best team, the Golden State Warriors as they play on the road against the Denver Nuggets.

The Golden State Warriors will take their NBA best 41-11 record on the road tonight when they play the Denver Nuggets. The Warriors are the class of the NBA and are 12-3 since January 1st. There is some pressure for the Warriors to keep winning though as the Houston Rockets are nipping at their heels, just three games back of Golden State for the top seed in the Western Conference.

The Nuggets have had their share of struggles this season, as they are just 27-25 on the year, but are currently clinging on to the eight seed in the West. This very well could be a preview of a first round matchup in the Western Conference playoffs this year.

The Warriors are -4.5-point road favorites tonight. The game total over-under is set at 232 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 PM PST from the Pepsi Center in Denver.

The Denver Nuggets aren’t a very good basketball team this year on the road. In fact, they are a really bad basketball team on the road this year. The Nuggets are just 7-18 away from the Pepsi Center this season. But at home? They are elite. The Nuggets 20 home wins are third in the Western Conference behind only San Antonio and Minnesota. They even have a better home record than tonight’s foe, the Golden State Warriors.

The Nuggets won their last game at home against a very good Oklahoma City Thunder team and will need another huge effort tonight to defend their home court. I don’t know if it is the hometown fans or the high elevation, but whatever the case may be, the Nuggets just don’t lose at home very often.

I don’t have to tell you how good Golden State is this season. They are basically on cruise control and are still winning at the highest rate in the NBA. They have a level of talent that is unmatched, maybe in NBA history, and I don’t see much standing in their way to winning yet another title this season. They are the best team, by a wide margin.

The rumor in the media this week has been Lebron James saying that he would consider taking his talent to Oakland and playing with the Warriors when he hits free agency after this season. Could you imagine that team?

Lebron would forever tarnish his reputation even further, but thinking of Durant, Curry, Green, Thompson, and James all playing on the same floor reminds me of the 1992 Dream team. It would likely be the greatest team ever assembled in any sport. I don’t think it will ever really happen for a million reasons, but as an NBA fanboy I can dream.

As for tonight’s game, I have to stick to the data. Denver wins at home, a lot. They protect their home court better than any other team in the NBA when you consider how bad they are on the road. I get to back the best home team in the NBA, getting a bunch of points? That is something that is too good to pass up on. The Nuggets can lose at home tonight, something they very rarely do, and I can still cash my ticket. That opportunity is too good to pass up on.

So, I am forced to back the home underdog once again and take the Denver Nuggets. I hate to bet against the NBA’s best team, but I am going to tonight. Give me the Denver Nuggets at home getting +4.5-points tonight from the happy confines of the Pepsi Center.

The Bet: Denver Nuggets +4.5 points

Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL