The Timberwolves have very quietly become one of the better bets in the NBA, posting an 8-2 ATS mark over their last ten games and going 7-3 SU including wins over Golden State and the Clippers. Today they get a stern test against the red-hot Washington Wizards. Can the Timberpups continue to grow up before our very eyes??
The NBA tends to get out shadowed by March Madness this week, but for those of you who can’t wait three days for some hoops (I suppose I should count the First Four, but you get the point). The NBA has seven games on the schedule tonight, highlighted by the Clippers visiting the Jazz in a pivotal seeding matchup in the Western Conference.
We squeaked out a push last night as the Rockets knocked off the Cavaliers 107-102, though I realize some of you might have taken the L as the line closed all the way at Houston -7 in some places. Hopefully you broke even and are back today ready to grab a winner.
Meanwhile, the Heat finally lost, but even in losing, this team is still impressive. They lost 102-98 on the road at Indiana, one of the best home teams in the Eastern Conference on the back end of a back-to-back without their point guard and best player, Goran Dragic. And STILL only lost by four. Something awesome (and frankly, hard to explain, is going on in Miami…
Let’s start a new week off right with a winner.
Today’s NBA Pick:
Washington Wizards at Minnesota Timberwolves -1
The Wizards were one of the best bets in the NBA for an extended period, but that streak has cooled off a bit as the lines have adjusted. They are just 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten games despite winning five straight games straight-up. Not that winning four straight road games isn’t impressive – it IS, just simply observing that Vegas is fully aware of what is going down inside the Beltway.
Meanwhile, Minnesota has been forgotten after a disastrous start removed them from the Playoff picture early. However, very quietly they are 7-3 SU in their last ten and 8-2 ATS. They have covered five of their last six home games and eight of their last nine overall.
There is all the pesky scheduling gods rearing their ugly heads tonight. Teams don’t win five road games in seven days – like ever. When the Warriors did it a year ago it made headlines for its sheer absurdity, and that team won an NBA-record 73 games. I think fatigue and statistical probability catch up with the red-hot Wizards tonight and the T-Wolves catch ‘em slippin.
Minnesota is one game under .500 at home and the Wizards are JUST NOW .500 on the road after reeling off four straight, so a Minnesota win wouldn’t be nearly as surprising as it would seem just glancing at the standings. The Wolves have beaten Golden State and the Clippers in their last two home games, and I like them to add a third trophy win tonight.
Today’s Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -1