Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies Pick – NCAAF Week 6

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Texas A&M Aggies meet on Saturday night at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas. The Aggies will be looking for the upset and get back on track following two losses. Things were going swimmingly for Texas A&M, but the close 10-7 win over Colorado was probably a good sign that the levy might break soon.

Texas A&M had a perfect record going into their matchup against Arkansas. However, a 20-10 loss at AT&T Stadium two weeks ago disrupted their confidence. Zach Calzada passed for 151 yards with an interception in the losing effort. He was unable to bounce back in his next start against Mississippi State at home.

Mike Leach’s air raid went into College Station and stole a 26-22 win from the Aggies. Once again Calzada struggled to put his team in a position to pull away and win. He passed for 135 yards with a touchdown and interception on 60% completions. This just isn’t working with Calzada under center.

He was expected to come through and lead the Aggies to something meaningful for Jimbo Fisher, but the defense has been forced to carry a heavy load for Texas A&M. This isn’t to say that Calzada is working with an offense that includes a prospect like Mike Evans. However, Calzada has been missing easy completions far too often.

Jimbo might have the option to go to freshman Haynes King against Alabama. King has been dealing with a leg injury and was on crutches not too long ago. He was injured in the 10-7 win over Colorado and hasn’t seen the field since.

Will it matter which quarterback is on the field for the Aggies against Bama? If the Crimson Tide bring the same energy that they did against Ole Miss this past weekend, then nope, it won’t. Alabama is coming off a 41-21 blowout over Ole Miss in Tuscaloosa.

If they wanted to make it a bigger win I’m sure they could have. The Crimson Tide took their foot off the pedal in the 4th quarter and geared down. Ole Miss scored some garbage minute points to make the score look better. Alabama had a 28-0 lead at halftime, so they were in control. Head below for our free Alabama vs. Texas A&M pick on October 9, 2021.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Alabama -18 (-110) -900 Over 51 (-110)
Texas A&M +18 (-110) +650 Under 51 (-110)
Team Data Alabama Texas A&M
Overall Record 5-0 3-2
ATS Record 3-2-0 2-3-0
Away/Home Record 1-0-0 0-0-0
ATS Away/Home 0-1-0 2-1-0
Points Per Game 45.6 23.4
Points Against Per Game 18.2 12.6
Passing Yards Per Game 299.2 208.8
Rushing Yards Per Game 163.4 167.8

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Prediction:

Alabama were going to score points against Ole Miss. That wasn’t much of a question going into that matchup. However, was Alabama going to be able to stop a high-octane Ole Miss offense? They most certainly did, as the Rebels were held to no points in the first-half.

Matt Corral, who was a top Heisman candidate at the time, passed for just 213 yards with a touchdown in the second-half. The Rebels were unable to move the ball in the first-half. This was much improved from their effort against the Florida Gators. Florida put some drives together at critical times in the game.

Nick Saban clearly shored up some problems that they had in that one because the defense didn’t make the same mistakes again. This is my problem with Texas A&M in this game. They haven’t proven to move the ball on anybody this season. Even 34 points against New Mexico was rather mediocre. Their biggest offensive output was 41 points in the season opener versus Kent State.

Zach Calzada passed for 744 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 53.9% completions. That form isn’t good enough to give Alabama any problems. The only game he’s passed for more than 200 yards in was against New Mexico. The Aggies can’t just rely on their defense alone because eventually the Crimson Tide will hit a couple of big plays.


Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends:

Alabama

  • 11-4 ATS in their previous 15 games
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games versus the SEC
  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games after covering the spread
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games in October
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games versus Texas A&M

Texas A&M

  • 9-22 ATS in their previous 31 games after a loss
  • 11-23 ATS in their previous 34 games in October
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games after passing for less than 170 yards
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games versus the SEC West
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games

Bryce Young is in the driver’s seat for the Heisman Trophy at the moment. He has a lot of room to grow, but has still been the best quarterback in the country so far. Young has passed for 1,365 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 73% completions. It doesn’t get much better than that.

Texas A&M’s best shot at pulling off an upset is with their defense. The crowd should be into this one which should help. The Aggies have conceded 319.8 yards and 12.6 points per game this season. Mississippi State’s 26 points is the most that a team has scored on their defense.

I see Texas A&M getting off to a quality start in the 1st quarter, but could see the door breaking down as the game progresses. Like I’ve said, all it can take is a couple of big plays from the Alabama offense to take an opponent out of the game. It will certainly take the crowd out of the game at Kyle Field.

Expect this one to be a tight contest early, but Texas A&M’s anemic offense isn’t going to be able to keep up. Alabama will make adjustments offensively, while the Aggies should be stuck in mud. This one turning into a 35-13 win for Alabama looks accurate.

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Alabama vs. Texas A&M Pick
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -18