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Alabama vs Texas A&M Pick – NCAAF Week 7

There are plenty of appealing games on tap for Week 7 of the NCAAF regular season, but this one may be the most intriguing of the bunch. The Alabama Crimson Tide are the top team in the nation according to the latest AP Top 25 poll, and they have yet to be seriously tested this season.

That could change this Saturday as they take the trek to College Station to square off with the Texas A&M Aggies at Kyle Field. Despite having a record of just 3-2, the Aggies are ranked 24th in the latest poll. The two losses have come against Top 10 teams, as the club has an absolutely brutal schedule set up for 2019.

Alabama enters this contest as a sizable favorite, so this game makes for another measuring stick for the Aggies to determine how far they have come. For the Crimson Tide, it’s another chance to bolster the resume as they keep their sights set on another College Football Playoff berth. Let’s take a look at the matchup in full detail, starting with the way the oddsmakers see it.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M, 3:30 PM EST, Sat. Oct.12, CBS

Spread:

  • Alabama -16.5 (-110)
  • Texas A&M +16.5 (-110)
Money line:

  • Alabama -750
  • Texas A&M +575
Total Points:

  • Over 61.5 (-110)
  • Under 61.5 (-110)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Pick:

Alabama had last weekend off after ripping off five straight convincing wins to open the season. The last time we saw the team in action, they hammered visiting Ole Miss by a score of 59-31. The Crimson Tide missed the cover as they entered the game as 37.5-point favorites. Tua Tagovailoa continued to make his case for the Heisman with six TD passes, five of which were caught by DeVonta Smith.

Texas A&M was also on a bye last week. They entered on a high note with a 31-27 road win over Arkansas. The game was a lot closer than expected as the Aggies walked on the field as 23.5-point favorites. The Razorbacks closed the gap to 28-27 late in the fourth quarter, but Seth Small sealed the deal with a late 50-yard field goal.

Rec. Conf. PF PA STK STD RNK
Alabama 5-0 2-0 259 74 W5 1-SEC West AP 1
Texas A&M 3-2 1-1 164 89 W1 4-SEC West AP 24

Through five games, the lowest margin of victory for the Crimson Tide was a 47-23 road win over South Carolina. They have dropped 42 or more points in each of the victories, and have held opponents to 10 points or less in three of them. Alabama started off the year ranked 2nd in the nation, but strong play has pushed them to the top spot over Clemson in recent polls.

The Aggies have already dropped two games this season, but both losses came to top programs. In Week 2, they traveled to Clemson and put up a fight, but ultimately fell by a score of 24-10. Two weeks later, it was a home date with Auburn. Texas A&M played them tough as well, but they came up short in a 28-20 loss. The last game was a close win over Arkansas, but the team has blown out a pair of lesser foes.

Offense

PPG PaYdF RuYdF
ALA 51.8 380.6 174.0
TAMU 32.8 292.8 133.4
Defense

PtsAll PaYdA RuYdA
14.8 190.6 134.8
17.8 191.4 108.4
Miscellaneous

SaF SaA ToM PYPG
10 6 +8 61.2
8 10 -2 54.6

Alabama hasn’t taken over the top spot in the polls on reputation alone. The team is off to a dominant start to the season and features excellent balance on both sides of the ball. There’s no glaring weaknesses to be found on the Crimson Tide, and it seems a given that they’ll be favored in all remaining games. Later this year, interesting tilts loom with strong LSU and Auburn squads.

Tagovailoa is making himself quite the Heisman case. He has completed 76.4 percent of his passes for 1,718 yards, 23 scores and no picks. Tagovailoa has also tacked on two scores on the ground. Najee Harris leads the backfield at 54/337/1, while Smith tops the wideouts with 537 yards and eight TDs after last week’s monster game. Xavier McKinney is the team leader with 41 tackles.

While a 3-2 record is disappointing for the Aggies, the losses have come at the hands of two of the nation’s top programs. Texas A&M has a brutal schedule this season, as this will be their third game versus a team ranked in the Top 10. As of now, they still have two more to go after this week as tilts with LSU and Georgia are on the horizon.

Kellen Mond is off to a decent start with 12 total scores versus four picks. Isaiah Spiller is the team’s leading rusher with 41 carries for 255 yards and three TDs. Jhamon Ausbon leads the way for the pass catchers with 32 receptions for 446 yards and two scores. Buddy Johnson tops the team with 27 tackles, while Justin Madubuike leads with two sacks.

Recent History

Alabama holds an all-time advantage of 9-2 over Texas A&M and has won the last six meetings in a row. Last season, the Crimson Tide picked up a 45-23 home win over the Aggies.

For the season to date, Alabama is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 on totals. Texas A&M is 3-2 ATS and 1-4 on the Over/Under.

Since the 2016 season, the Crimson Tide are 12-1 overall as road favorites and 7-6 ATS. The Aggies are 0-5 as home underdogs straight-up over that span and 2-3 ATS.

The Verdict

Alabama is off to a dominant start to the season. They’re looking every bit the part of national title contender and more than worthy of their top ranking. Texas A&M has shown a good amount of fight versus top programs, but losses in big spots demonstrate that the program still has some growing to do.

The brutal schedule for the Aggies could serve as a giant building block for next season. However, the team hasn’t shown they can get over the hump just yet. They’ll play the Crimson Tide tough on the home field, but they just don’t have enough to get it done.

That doesn’t mean they can’t keep it interesting. Alabama wins, but Texas A&M covers.

The Bet
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -16.5
-110
Chris Feery / author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.

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