Arizona Oklahoma State Spread Line and Alamo Bowl Predictions

This year’s Alamo Bowl in San Antonio, TX (7:50pm ET) features the number 16-ranked Oklahoma St. Cowboys (10-2) out of the Big 12 taking on the Arizona Wildcats (7-5) of the Pac 10. The Cowboys were in the midst of a four-game winning streak until they closed the regular season with a 47-41 loss to in-state rival Oklahoma on November 27. Arizona ended the season is disastrous fashion, closing with four consecutive losses including a 30-29 loss to their in-state rival Arizona State on December 2 at home.

Oklahoma State is seeking their school-record 11th win behind the strength of an offense that is one of the best in the nation. The Cowboys rank 2nd in total yards per game with 540.5 and third in points per game with 44.9. Quarterback Brandon Weeden, a junior, was second in the nation in passing yards per game with 336.4 and fifth in touchdown passes with 32. Justin Blackmon, the Big 12 Player of the Year, also won the Biletnikoff Award as the nation’s top receiver and was a first-team All-American. Blackmon averaged 151.4 YPG receiving with 18 touchdowns on the season. Running back Kendall Hunter was also a first-team All-American and ran for 126.3 YPG and 16 touchdowns this season. On defense the Cowboys have been less than stellar, ranking 94th in the nation with 413.5 YPG allowed and 115th against the pass with 275.5 YPG allowed while allowing 27.8 PPG.

Arizona started the season 7-1 led by their defense, which ranked in the top 10 nationally. During their four game slide to end the season the Wildcats lost their mojo on defense, allowing 36 PPG and 456 yards pr contest, among the worst in the country over that stretch. Arizona still finished with a respectable 21.6 PPG average allowed on defense, ranking 33rd in the nation. On offense, the Wildcats’ strength has been their passing game, led by quarterback Nick Foles, which ranks 9th in the country with 310 YPG. Foles directs an offense that has averaged 29.8 PPG this season, but the Wildcats have not scored above that average since October when they put up 44 points in a win over Washington.

Oklahoma State is 40-16-2 ATS in their last 58 games as a favorite and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Arizona is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. The over is 5-1 in Arizona’s last 6 games on grass and their last 6 games overall. The over is 8-3 in Oklahoma State’s last 11 games as a favorite. The last meeting between the two teams was a 20-6 OSU victory in 1942, and each team has 3 wins in the series.

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Oklahoma St. Vs. Arizona Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Oklahoma St. Cowboys -4.5
@ Arizona Wildcats +4.5

Game Total:

Over 65.5 (-110)
Under 65.5 (-110)

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Oklahoma St. Vs. Arizona Predictions for Alamo Bowl:

Spread Prediction (Top Play) – The Cowboys have one of the most explosive offenses in the country and are facing a defense that has struggled mightily in the latter portion of the season. No one has been able to shut down OSU this season, and the trend does not bode well for Arizona to step up in this game. Look for Weeden, Blackmon and company to bury the Wildcats, Arizona should be able to put up some points as well and hang in the game through the first half but OSU simply has too much fire power for Arizona to pull off the upset.

PREDICTION (TOP PLAY) – Oklahoma State -4.5

Over/Under Prediction – Take the over here as both teams feature struggling defenses and outstanding quarterbacks that should be poised to take advantage. The OSU defense has been vulnerable against the pass all season long and Arizona has faded noticeably down the stretch, with two quarterbacks averaging over 300 yards per game passing the conditions are ripe for a shoot out. Foles and Weeden should both have very big days against soft opposing pass defenses.

PREDICTION – Over 65.5