Arizona vs Oregon Spread Line and Predictions CFB Week 13

One of the top matchups for this upcoming week 7 of the 2010 college football season will be this Friday (7:00pm ET) when the 20th-ranked Arizona Wildcats (7-3, 4-3 in Pac 10) travel to Eugene, OR to face the top-ranked Oregon Ducks (10-0, 7-0) in the Pac-10. Oregon, with the top-ranked offense in the country in terms of points per game with 50.7 and number two in total yards per game with 544.2, is an imposing opponent on the road and is coming off of its only close game of the season on November 13 at California when they won 15-13.

Oregon has possibly the most explosive offense in the nation with running back LaMichael James, a leading Heisman trophy contender, and quarterback Darron Thomas the key components. The Ducks are simply an offensive machine with Thomas for an average of 8.1 yards per pass attempt with 23 TDs and running for 5.6 yards per rush on the ground and 4 more TDs, and James piling up over 1,400 yards on the ground at an average of 6.4 YPC. The Oregon defense has been sharp as well, ranking 11th in the nation in points allowed with 17.2 per game. This team does not have any glaring weaknesses and despite their offensive struggles against Cal look almost unstoppable on that side of the ball.

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Arizona quarterback Nick Foles brings a formidable passing game to Eugene, one that has averaged 300.6 YPG good for 10th in the country, and leads an offense that averages 445.9 total yards per game ranking 19th in the nation. The Wildcat defense is perennially a tough unit, and this season is no different with Arizona ranking 12th in the country with 18,1 points allowed per game and 19th in total yards allowed per contest with 318.7. Since the Wildcats do not run the ball ranking only 78th in the country in run offense, the key matchup to look for is their passing game against Oregon’s pass defense which has allowed only 189.1 yards per game. If Foles is given time to throw he is good enough to test that secondary and keep Arizona in the game.

Arizona is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and Oregon has won 3 of the last 5 meetings between the two teams straight up. The under is 7-2 in Arizona’s last 8 Friday games; the over is 13-4 in Oregon’s last 17 games overall and the over is 15-5-1 in the Ducks last 21 home games.

Arizona vs. Oregon Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


Arizona Wildcats +19
@ Oregon Ducks -19

Game Total:

Over 62 (-110)
Under 62 (-110)

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Arizona vs. Oregon Betting Predictions:

Spread Prediction (Top Play) – Arizona is far too strong of a team to lay the 18 points in a tough conference match-up. The wildcats have playmakers on both sides of the ball, and an experienced quarterback who will not be intimated by the national spotlight or tough road crowd. Arizona is capable of scoring enough points to at least hang in there with Oregon, and possibly has a good enough defensive unit to pull off a shocking upset on the road. There does not seem to be anyone who can stop Oregon’s offense, but if Arizona can hold the Ducks to 30 points or less they will certainly have a shot to win the game outright with their potent offense.

PREDICTION (Top Play) – Arizona +19

Over/Under Prediction – Take the over here, the trend favors the over for the Ducks all season long and even with two strong defensive units it is difficult to see that trend breaking here. With an Oregon team that is #1 in the nation, scoring 50.7 PPG, one team could go over the total by themselves. Arizona will score some points themselves, and even if they hold the Ducks well below their average the total should exceed 62.


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