Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators Pick – NCAAF Week 11

The SEC is back on Saturday with a host of games in the south, including in Gainesville at the University of Florida. Kyle Trask will look to bolster his resume even more with a solid performance against the Arkansas Razorbacks. Trask has flown up draft boards and isn’t going to be ignored in the draft in April.

Much like Joe Burrow, Trask has gone from a good NFL prospect to a great one in less than a year of work. It didn’t take long for Burrow to turn into a household name, though that was largely aided by the National Championship run by the LSU Tigers. Trask is unlikely to get that kind of exposure to the public, but scouts will certainly pay attention regardless.

The Florida Gators go into Saturday with a record of 4-1 and No. 6 in the nation. Their only loss came in a tight game against Texas A&M on October 10, 41-38. Since then, they’ve been on fire with a 41-17 win over Missouri and their biggest win yet, a 44-28 win over Georgia last week. What they must be aware of is a possible letdown following that victory.

It’s certainly worth keeping in mind. A massive win over the Bulldogs has the potential to steer them out of focus for this week against Arkansas. The Razorbacks aren’t the same quality opponent, but could make the Gators pay if they’re not taken seriously on Saturday. Fortunately, Florida will welcome the Razorbacks to the Swamp instead of going on the road.

Playing in the state of Florida is important during this pandemic. Since the government is allowing fans to attend games, there is some form of homefield advantage at the University of Florida. Not what you would come to expect in a normal year, obviously, with attendance capped, but it’s better than nothing.

Arkansas are coming off a 42-31 loss against Texas A&M two weeks on the road last week. Kellen Mond paced the offense for the Aggies, as he threw for 260 yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions. Isaiah Spiller and Devon Achane were effective in the backfield for around 5 yards per carry together.

After a promising outing against Ole Miss in a 33-21 win, the defense showed no resistance versus Texas A&M. That said, they responded for a 24-13 win over Tennessee last week. I’m not sure that’s anything to be too proud about, though. The Vols have fallen below expectations once again in 2020. The same effort would result in big points for the Gators at home. Head below for our free Arkansas vs. Florida pick for November 14, 2020.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Arkansas +17 (-110)
  • Florida -17 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Arkansas +550
  • Florida -750
Total:

  • Over 60 (-110)
  • Under 60 (-110)

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Arkansas vs. Florida Prediction:

Arkansas quarterback, Feleipe Franks, returns to his old stomping ground at the University of Florida on Saturday. Franks was at Florida for four years with his best season in 2018. He threw for 24 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 58.4% completions.

Upon completing his four years at Florida, Franks received a graduate transfer to finish up his career at Arkansas. There aren’t any hard feelings between Franks and UF. His eligibility ran out and had to look elsewhere to continue his collegiate career.

Franks stayed in the SEC and gets a “revenge” spot against his former team on Saturday afternoon. It may not be much in the way of revenge since his relationship with the school wasn’t bad. Franks has looked comfortable in the Arkansas offense this season. He has thrown for 14 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 67.2% completions.

We didn’t see much of his running ability at Florida, but Franks has been using his legs to his advantage at Arkansas. Franks has gained 174 yards on the ground to pick up some yardage when things break down in the pocket. He’s more of a pocket passer than anything else, though.

Florida has been showing improvements defensively recently, but they are a mile away from their previous status as one of the best in the nation. The Gators have conceded 402 yards and 29 points per game through five games. Arkansas is going to need all of the offense they can against Florida.

Trask is going to fire at will against the Razorbacks on Saturday. Arkansas hasn’t been on top form defensively either. They’ve allowed 401.5 yards per game in 2020. The Razorbacks’ defense has shown up in spots, though. For instance, they held a good Ole Miss offense to 21 points, but came back to get beat up against Texas A&M.

Trask has passed for 22 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 68.7% completions. Florida has averaged 495.4 yards and 42.4 points per game going into Saturday. Are we going to see the good or bad Arkansas defense today? Trask likely makes sure that the Razorbacks look bad at the Swamp. I could see Franks with some motivation to play well against his former team. If Arkansas springs the upset, it’s going to happen because of Franks. I look towards a high-scoring game in this contest.

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OVER 60
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.