Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs Pick – NCAAF Week 5

The Arkansas Razorbacks and Georgia Bulldogs have a date at Sanford Stadium on Saturday afternoon. In one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the Week 5 card, the Razorbacks will look to show that they belong in the national discussion.

A win on the road at Sanford and Arkansas will have an inside route to the College Football Playoff. As crazy as it sounds, Arkansas could be in the top-4 on Sunday. The Razorbacks have remained blemish free going into this week with a record of 4-0.

They are coming off a statement win at AT&T Stadium versus the Texas A&M Aggies, 20-10. Their other notable win was a 40-21 blowout of the Texas Longhorns three weeks back in Arkansas. They haven’t been really challenged in the sense that the Hogs have had control in all of their games.

Arkansas might experience adversity for the first time in 2021 on the road at Georgia. The Bulldogs’ defense has slammed the door on every team this season. It started with a clinic against Clemson, and continued into last week in Nashville that looked like an NFL versus a college team.

The Bulldogs have looked like the best team in the country from what I’ve watched. I am not so sure that Georgia would have allowed Florida to move the ball like they did against Alabama. The Crimson Tide don’t look as dominant as last year’s team, and look ripe for an upset somewhere this season.

At least right now, I’m confident that the Georgia defense would provide Bryce Young with a ton of problems. That could change in December as Young continues to get more experience. As high as I am on Georgia, I’ve liked Arkansas this season, too.

I was on the Razorbacks last week and they covered easily as a straight up winner. Georgia was also on my card last week, but I have to fade someone in Week 5. Head below for our free Arkansas vs. Georgia pick for October 2, 2021.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Arkansas +18 (-116) +635 Over 49.5 (-113)
Georgia -18 (-104) -870 Under 49.5 (-107)
Team Data Arkansas Georgia
Overall Record 4-0 4-0
ATS Record 4-0-0 3-1-0
Away/Home Record 0-0 2-0
ATS Away/Home 0-0-0 1-1-0
Points Per Game 35.8 42
Points Against Per Game 14.5 5.8
Passing Yards Per Game 219 277.3
Rushing Yards Per Game 262.3 178

Arkansas vs. Georgia Prediction:

Arkansas will have to figure out a way to move the ball in this one. No offense has been able to put a dent in the Bulldogs.

They held Clemson to 3 points and haven’t been fazed since opening the year. South Carolina’s 13 points is the most that a team has scored on the Georgia defense.

7 of the points that the Gamecocks scored was against the backup Georgia defense in the 4th quarter. The Bulldogs were already rolling through their third-team defense with a 40-6 lead. The same goes for UAB the week before.

The Blazers scored 7 points in the 4th quarter in a blowout. In other words, there isn’t one team that has scored a meaningful touchdown against the Bulldogs.

Meaningful and no touchdowns versus the first-team Georgia defense. Is Arkansas going to score a touchdown in this one? Probably, but more than one is questionable in my opinion. Georgia isn’t going to give up much in this one.


Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Trends:

Arkansas

  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games
  • 1-8 overall in their previous nine games versus Georgia
  • 1-13 overall in their previous 14 games on the road
  • 4-16 overall in their previous 20 games versus the SEC
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games in October

Georgia

  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games
  • 8-0 overall in their previous eight games
  • 12-5 ATS in their previous 17 games at home versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 7-2 in their previous nine games
  • OVER is 6-0 in their previous games versus the SEC

Arkansas has a defense, but their offense lacks an extra gear. It’s what concerns me going on the road to Athens. KJ Jefferson has been playing well under center for the Razorbacks. He’s passed for 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 59% completions.

His best asset is his legs, having rushed for 230 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7.2 yards per carry. He’s dealing with some soreness, though, and likely isn’t going to be 100% for this one. It might bother him when he takes off and runs.

Arkansas has allowed just 14.5 points per game. Their defense has been able to get after offenses as well, but JT Daniels and the Bulldogs will be their biggest test. I can see Arkansas trying to hang in there. However, bad field position is going to eventually wear on them. They’ll get tired in the 4th.

Keep in mind that this is the first true road game for Arkansas. They’ve had three games at home and the neutral site game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. This is their first contest in a hostile environment. This is a good team no doubt, but I feel that Georgia is on another level entirely. Expect Georgia to gradually pull away for a 35-13 win. I’m fading the big public dog.

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GEORGIA BULLDOGS -18