The top SEC game for week 11 of the 2011 college football season features the 24th ranked Auburn Tigers (6-3) traveling to Atlanta, GA to take on the 14th ranked Georgia Bulldogs (7-2) on Saturday afternoon (3:30pm ET). Auburn won by a score of 41-23 over Ole Miss at home in their last game on October 29 to cover the 11 point line. Georgia rolled over the visiting New Mexico Lobos 61-16 to cover the massive 34.5 point line last week. Auburn is 4-5 ATS this season while Georgia is 6-3 ATS. The Bulldogs had won four straight against Auburn until the Tigers’ 49-31 win at home last season en route to the National Title.
The Auburn offense has evolved into primarily a run-oriented attack this season, one that averages 26.1 points per game (70th in the nation) and ranks 31st among FBS teams with 191.1 yards per game on the ground behind lead rusher Michael Dyer (989 yards, 9 touchdowns). The Tiger defense has slipped from their dominance of a season ago to 68th in the nation in scoring defense with 27.7 PPG allowed and 73rd in total defense with 400.7 YPG allowed. Georgia, behind sophomore sensation Aaron Murray (2,060 yards passing, 23 TDs, 8 INTs), puts up an average of 34.8 PPG (26th among FBS teams) and 428.8 total YPG (36 among FBS teams). The Bulldogs’ defense has been a strength this season, allowing a stingy 282.2 YPG (7th among FBS teams) and 19.9 PPG (23rd best in the nation) for Head Coach Mark Richt.
Auburn vs. Georgia Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Auburn Tigers +12
@Georgia Bulldogs -12
Over 53 (-110)
Under 53 (-110)
Betting odds taken from BetOnline.com <– best college football lines (easy credit card deposits + $900 bonus too)!
Auburn vs. Georgia Pick:
Auburn is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 SEC games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 game against a team with a winning record. Georgia is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record. The under is 18-7-1 in Auburn’s last 26 games as a road underdog and 10-4-2 in their last 16 games as an underdog. The over is 10-4 in Georgia’s last 14 home games and 8-3 in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 head-to-head meetings, and the over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between the two teams.
The key matchup in this game for the Bulldogs is their vaunted passing game facing off against an Auburn secondary that has been torched by quality quarterbacks in their three losses this season including Arkansas’ Tyler Wilson (262 yards) and Clemson’s Tajh Boyd (238 yards and 4 TDs). Murray and company matchup very favorably with the Auburn defense, and the young QB threw for 273 yards and 3 TDs with no interceptions against Auburn’s Championship-caliber defense as a freshman last season. The Bulldogs were shredded on the ground by Auburn last season to the tune of 315 yards and 5.5 YPC, but with the 8th ranked rush defense in the country allowing only 91.3 YPG on the ground, that is not likely to happen again this year. Georgia has improved considerably on both sides of the ball since the two teams last met, and Auburn has predictably regressed from what was a star-studded championship team last year. Those factors combined with the home-field advantage in Athens make the Bulldogs a solid pick to cover here.