No. 23 Auburn (5-2) at Alabama (7-0)
Alabama holds a 46-37-1 advantage in the series as Nick Saban is 10-8 against the Tigers and 8-5 at Alabama. Saban will not coach in this game as he is sidelined after testing positive for COVID-19. Auburn’s Gus Malzahn is 3-4 and as three of his four losses have occurred in Tuscaloosa. This is the 24th meeting when both teams are ranked and the seventh in the last 10 years. Auburn won a 48-45 thriller behind interceptions from Smoke Monday and Zakolby McClain last season.
Vs. The Spread:
The series is tied at 5-5 ATS in the last 10 games as Alabama is 6-4 SU in those. The total has gone UNDER in six of the Tigers’ last seven games while the Toal has gone OVER in five of Alabama’s seven games. The Crimson Tide is 5-1 ATS in the last six SEC affairs.
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Auburn||+24½ (-110)||+750||O 62 (-120)|
|Alabama||-24½ (-110)||-2000||U 62 (+100)|
The Tigers responded to a 21-day layoff with a 30-17 win over Tennessee. Quarterback Bo Nix used to speed of wide receiver Anthony Schwartz for a 54-yard touchdown pass and Smoke Monday capitalized with a 100-yard interception return.
The Crimson Tide bludgeoned Kentucky, 63-3, as Alabama had 509 total yards while rushing 40 times for 226 yards. The defensive effort was imperial as the Wildcats only netted 193 yard and only 1.8 yards per carry. Wide out Devonta Smith caught nine balls for 144 yards and a score.
When Auburn Has the Ball:
The hopes of the Tigers rely on running back Tank Bigsby and his ability to play after an injury in last week’s win. He is currently listed as questionable as are tackles Alec Jackson and Brodarious Hamm. Schwartz and Seth Williams will have to come up strong in the passing game if the Tigers are without Bigsby. Third down will be huge as well as the Tigers have only converted 51 percent of their third downs this season. Auburn has committed an SEC low six turnovers.
Defensively, Dylan Moses and Christian Harris are an issue, especially if the Tigers are using a make shift offensively line that hasn’t worked together in real game situations. The Crimson Tide has given up only six rushing touchdowns inside of a rushing defense that hasn’t given up over 145 yards in it’s last four outings.
When Alabama Has the Ball:
After Tennessee rushed for 222 yards on the Tigers last week, they have to be concerned about Najee Harris and his ability to control a game with 797 yards and a nation leading 16 rushing touchdowns to date. He has made Mac Jones’ season with Jones competing 77.1 percent of his passes and 18 touchdowns against three picks. John Metchie, III, is capable of stepping up beside of Smith and forcing the Auburn secondary to make adjustments in coverage.
Auburn still hasn’t allowed a 30-point game from any offense this season. McClain will be a key playmaker on defense as he averages 9.7 tackles per game, fifth in the SEC. Colby Wooden will be an issue up front for the Tigers as his 8.5 tackles for loss leads the league. Linebacker K.J. Britt is still injured as the nicked up Tigers face No.1 Alabama at the wrong time.
Winner: Alabama (-24½) 41, Auburn 16
Over-Under: UNDER 62