Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners Pick – NCAAF Week 14

The Big 12 is winding down with the rest of college football across the country over the next two weeks. It feels like college football just started, but the regular season is almost a distant memory. It probably feels that way because of how this season has gone with regard to Covid, but I likely would have been saying the same if it was a normal season, too. This whole year has been a blur from January to December, it’s not just college football. I’m looking forward to some normalcy at some point in 2021, whenever that may be.

We’re hopeful, though, that next fall will have fans in every state. If the rollout of the vaccine goes according to what has been proposed, it should be the case. Most of the southern states, such as Oklahoma, have been playing with fans in attendance in a limited capacity. It still doesn’t feel the same without a packed crowd in attendance at schools. For some teams, limited attendance is just the norm, so not much has changed in that regard for them with the number of fans capped.

The Baylor Bears head to Norman playing garbage football for the most part. They are coming off a 32-31 win over Kansas State, though that win was needed to stop a five-game losing streak. I will say that Baylor played a couple of competitive games against Iowa State and Texas Tech before breaking through for a win. They lost 38-31 against a quality Iowa State team, and then fought to the wire against Texas Tech in a 24-23 loss. However, their only wins this year have been against a really bad Kansas squad, 47-14, and a 1-point win at home versus Kansas State.

Oklahoma has been on fire since their 37-30 loss against Iowa State on October 3. They are winners in five straight games, most recently a very impressive 41-13 win over the Oklahoma State Cowboys on November 21. Oklahoma had the week off to prepare for Baylor in Week 14. Thanks to their hot hand recently, the Sooners are going to get an attractive bowl invite if they win out. Getting into the playoff is going to be impossible now, but a bowl committee would love to have the Sooners at their game. A record of 8-2 would be enough to get them into a desirable bowl. Head below for our free Baylor vs. Oklahoma pick for December 5, 2020.

Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Baylor +21.5 (-110)
  • Oklahoma -21.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Baylor +890
  • Oklahoma -1600
Total:

  • Over 61.5 (-110)
  • Under 61.5 (-110)

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Baylor vs. Oklahoma Prediction:

The Sooners are rolling at the moment, and the Bears are hoping that they lost some of their luster after having the week off. Following a 37-30 loss against Iowa State on October 3, Oklahoma has won five in a row with a total of 251 points scored for an average of 50.2 points per game. It took Spencer Rattler a minute to heat up, but he’s been getting more efficient as the season has progressed.

The run game has really taken off for Oklahoma as well. The offensive line has been gelling from what we were seeing earlier in the season. Rattler has passed for 22 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 68.1% completions. He has also scored 4 times on the ground for 115 yards. Rattler is not a burner as a runner at all, but has been useful around the goal line on an option play.

Through eight games, the Sooners have racked up 512.1 yards and 45.5 points per game. If Rattler had a feeling for the offense quicker in the season, it’s possible that Oklahoma would be over 50 points a game. Remember that Rattler is only a freshman, so this is just the beginning of his collegiate career. I would expect Rattler to really begin to blossom as a sophomore next year.

Will the Baylor offense be able to keep up on Saturday? The defense will likely need to carry the load. Charlie Brewer has been competent, but largely a disappointment for Baylor in 2020. Brewer has passed for 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 64.9% completions. After connecting for 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions a season ago, Brewer has failed to step up to the next level.

He hasn’t made Baylor a worse team than they already are, but Brewer hasn’t elevated the team at all. The Bears have averaged 335.4 yards and 27.6 points per game in 2020. I don’t think that’s going to be enough to keep up with the Oklahoma offense, which is cooking at the moment. Look for a 45-21 win in favor of Oklahoma on Saturday in Norman.

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The Bet
OKLAHOMA SOONERS -21.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.