BCS Over Under Line and Betting Prediction

The Auburn Tigers and the Oregon Ducks are both extremely gifted offensive teams, it will be the nations most productive offensive team matching up against the nations most productive offensive player in QB Cam Newton come Monday night, kickoff slated for 8:30 PM EST.

Oregon uses a spread attack that puts its emphasis on speed and forces a defense to be responsible everywhere on the field. If a defense gets caught cheating too much to make a stop in the backfield, second-year QB Darron Thomas can throw well enough (2,518 pass yards in 2010) to burn them. For an Auburn defense with some holes in it, there will be a daunting task in front of them not just stopping James, but the turbo-charged spread attack of head coach Chip Kelly. This season’s title game should truly be a classic.

Betting Line Comparison Chart:

Betting Site
Over/Under Line
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Auburn -1 (-115)
Auburn -1 (-110)
Auburn -3 (+110)

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Though Auburn sports a sparkling 13-0 record, there have been imperfections on this football team. Yet every time, Newton does something dazzling to pull out another Tigers win. Auburn showed its mettle in an OT win over Clemson, an epic battle against LSU and, most importantly, a comeback win over hated Alabama – in hostile Tuscaloosa – in the Iron Bowl.

Oregon vs Auburn BCS OVER/UNDER:

Game Total:

Over (-110)
Under (-110)

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Over/Under Prediction – If any two teams can combine for 72 points in ease it is only the two teams matching up in Glendale this Monday night. The Oregon Ducks have had a season average of 49.3 points per contest, whereas the Tigers have averaged 42.7. The sticking point comes when you look at the defenses, especially that of the Ducks. This Oregon defense was playing under the limelight of the offense but they ended up having a very, unnoticed, stellar season. The defense of the Ducks gave up a very solid 18.4 points per contest and were tops in the Pac-10 for forcing turnovers. I expect Oregon to bring it against Cam Newton and contain him within the pocket. It is interesting to note, Newton is only a 63% passer when contained within the pocket, it is when he is on the move when he is a lethal threat. Oregon’s Chip Kelly, the AP Coach of the Year, likes to bring his no-huddle offense that is quick and taxing on the defense, some of whom faked injuries this season just to slow the game down. The Ducks like to spread out their opponent’s defense and take advantage of openings with their sizzling speed and three-headed attack. Yet, I cannot help but believe that a months worth of non-game contact and speed will be quite visible for the first half of the game. The Oregon Ducks have never scored over 30 points when playing an opponent from the SEC and although this is a very different team, I believe LaMichael James and the rest of the Ducks offense will be hindered by an aggressive Ducks defensive scheme. We will consider these two offenses to be viable but not as consistent as throughout the year due to the long layoff and I expect tonight’s game to fall UNDER the posted total. Cheers!

Geoff’s Official Pick = UNDER

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