Boise State Broncos vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Pick – NCAAF Week 12

A rematch of the Mountain West Championship takes place on Saturday in Hawaii at Aloha Stadium. Hawaii had a good season, but couldn’t cap it off with a Mountain West Championship. They took the long flight from warm Hawaii to play at cold Boise on the blue turf against the Broncos. Boise State was in full control and in good standing throughout the game.

The Broncos took a 31-3 lead into the fourth quarter and burned the clock the rest of the way. Boise State ultimately earned a 31-10 victory at home in that contest. Hawaii ended up going on to beat BYU in the Hawaii Bowl, so they had something to celebrate, though. BYU must have taken that loss personally because look at them now.

Boise State will take the long flight to Hawaii this time in the rematch of the 2019 Mountain West Championship. Typically playing a game in Hawaii could serve a major distraction. However, as a result of Covid-19 restrictions, there isn’t much to get distracted by in Honolulu. The players are pretty much in lockdown from the moment they get off the plane. If you want to talk about focus for the game then that should only help the visitors.

It was an easy victory for Boise State last week, as they cruised past Colorado State for a 52-21 win on Thursday. The defense was able to put Boise State in prime field position all game long. There wasn’t much that was required of the offense, but they still put up over 50 points on the Rams. The Broncos are in good form going into this one. They’re a 3-1 team with their only loss against BYU. That was a big loss for Boise and a big win for BYU. The Cougars poured it on for a 51-17 win over the Broncos.

Boise State can still reach a decent bowl if they win out. The rest of their regular season schedule is fairly straightforward. Following Hawaii, the Broncos have San Jose State, UNLV, and Wyoming left on the schedule. All four games are winnable outings, with Boise State the favorite in most likely all of those matchups.

For the Rainbow Warriors, they’ve been up and down with a record of 2-2. Hawaii is coming off a 34-10 loss in California last week against San Diego State. The running game of Greg Ball went wild on the Hawaii defense for 160 yards on 8.4 yards per carry. They must be more physical on Saturday. Head below for our free Boise State vs. Hawaii pick for November 21, 2020.

Boise State Broncos vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Mountain West Football Betting Odds:


  • Boise St. -14 (-110)
  • Hawaii +14 (-110)

  • Boise St. -550
  • Hawaii +430

  • Over 56 (-110)
  • Under 56 (-110)


Boise State vs. Hawaii Prediction:

Hawaii must be better at defending the run if they’re going to have success on Saturday. They have been getting torched on the ground and there hasn’t been any end in sight. The Rainbow Warriors are 121st against the run with 251.5 rushing yards allowed per game.

At 5.44 yards per carry conceded, Hawaii is one of the worst defenses against the run in the nation. If George Holani gets the greenlight for this one, and it looks like he should be clear, Hawaii is likely in for a world of hurt. The Mountain West freshman of the year gained 1,014 yards with 7 touchdowns on 5.3 yards per carry.

Before he was injured, Holani ran for 105 yards with a touchdown and 6.6 yards per carry in 2020. His return in Hawaii would hurt a Rainbow Warriors team already struggling to stop running backs. Even if Holani sits out again, Boise State should still be able to move the ball against a small defensive front of Hawaii regardless.

Quarterback Hank Bachmeier is healthy after getting banged up earlier in the season, so his presence helps. Bachhmeier has passed for 4 touchdowns and no interceptions on 64.3% completions. The Rainbow Warriors had to replace Cole McDonald after the quarterback declared for the draft.

It wasn’t a hard search to replace McDonald. Chevan Cordeiro is familiar with the offense and played in spots the last two years. He’s been mediocre in his first season as the full time starter. Cordeiro has passed for 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60% completions.

The Broncos have been tremendous against the pass, with just 174.3 passing yards allowed per game. That’s helped give Boise State great field position often. I expect Hawaii to push back and offer some resistance in the first half, but foresee things slipping away from them in the second. A 42-24 win for Boise State in Hawaii looks within reach on Saturday.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.