Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets Pick – NCAAF Week 10

MAC football returns on Wednesday night with five games on tap in the conference. It’s only the MAC in play tonight, so if you like MAC football, you are going to like Wednesday. The schedule has been condensed because of the late start. The conference originally decided not to play, but when the Big Ten said they’d be back, the MAC couldn’t sit on the sideline.

With the MAC and Pac-12 back this week, we have a full slate of college football on the calendar finally. It’s especially good to see the MAC back, because we have some weekday football on Tuesday and Wednesday. With sports in a bit of a dead period right now without the NBA, NHL, and MLB, it’s a godsend that the MAC has returned.

The MAC will have a shortened campaign in 2020. Each team will play six games, which is the shortest schedule in the country. They will still play a conference championship game, and are eligible to play in bowl games. There will be an opportunity for two teams to play eight games apiece. An extra game for the conference championship and then another for a bowl game.

It might only be a six-game schedule, but teams are really going to win this championship. Will it provide us with a complete picture? No, but a sprint could be fun. Last season was completely wide open in the MAC. Miami-Ohio won the conference when they were projected to finish well behind in 2019. The door is going to be wide open in the MAC for this sprint to the conference championship.

Toledo was a hot pick to win the conference last year. Most everyone had Toledo at least going to the conference championship, and many had them winning the MAC. However, Toledo were just kind of meh and finished with a record of 6-6 and 3-5 in the MAC.

Despite recording six wins, the Rockets were not invited to go bowling. No bowl committee in the country wanted to bring Toledo to their event. That should be a source of motivation for them in 2020. Head below for our free Bowling Green vs. Toledo pick for November 4, 2020.

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • BGSU +23 (-110)
  • Toledo -23 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • BGSU (+750)
  • Toledo (-2000)
Total:

  • Over 62.5 (-112)
  • Under 62.5 (-108)

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Bowling Green vs. Toledo Prediction:

There was a lot of support behind Toledo going into last season. And when the season opened, I think a lot of people liked what they saw from them. Toledo played a competitive game in a 38-24 loss against Kentucky, beat Colorado State, 41-35, and then a 28-21 win over BYU the following week was impressive as well. Everything was going well for Toledo, and they were playing like conference favorites.

However, then everything collapsed around the Rockets. It all started with a 20-7 loss against this Bowling Green squad. That should have been an easy win for the Rockets. They went into that one without any concentration and the season snowballed out of control for them. Ball State pounded them the following week, 52-14, and that was pretty much the beginning of the end for them. They weren’t able to recover for the most part, and closed out the season with a 49-7 loss versus Central Michigan.

Toledo did not deserve a bowl invite. After that terrible display, I think we’re going to see a more focused Toledo team in 2020, though. This is largely the same team that we saw from last year. However, the Rockets will be inserting a brand new quarterback into the offense. Matt McDonald gets his first opportunity as the starter at Toledo after throwing just eight passes in his career. The junior out of Newport Beach has connected on 7 for 8 passing with 2 touchdowns and no interception.

With a talented backfield returning to the field in 2020, including Shakif Seymour, Toledo should make out well against Bowling Green in the opener, though. Seymour gained 741 yards and 5 touchdowns for 4.8 yards per carry. Bryant Koback is also back for the Rockets. Koback was the workhorse, as he tallied 1,187 yards and 12 touchdowns for 6.1 yards per carry in 2019. He could be an interesting NFL prospect. This is the same school that Kareem Hunt went to, so it has turned out NFL running backs recently.

The Rockets’ backfield should be able to run for a mile on Wednesday night. The Falcons were one of the worst in the FBS against the run last year. They conceded 242.8 yards per game. There were only four teams in the nation that were worse at stopping the run than Toledo. Expect Toledo to play with a chip on their shoulder this season, especially in this revenge spot against Bowling Green that started their collapse last year. I’m on Toledo in a blowout.

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The Bet
TOLEDO ROCKETS -23
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.