Bowling Green vs. Kent State Pick – NCAAF Week 10

In the first edition of Tuesday night MAC football, it’s the Bowling Green Falcons vs the Kent State Golden Flashes. It is a little bit of an ugly matchup, okay a really ugly matchup. Nonetheless, I have been killing it in these smaller conferences, notably the MAC and Sun Belt, so let’s keep it going on Tuesday. Bowling Green enters with a record of 1-7, while Kent State has a couple of wins at 2-6. In other words, this is bottom of the barrel in the MAC. The Golden Flashes did spring an upset over Miami-Ohio for their second win of the season two weeks ago. Not a bad win as 8.5 dogs, but their first win against Howard, isn’t one to get credit for. They had to fight for a 38-31 win at home against Howard.

Bowling Green haven’t been at the top of the heap since Matt Johnson was the quarterback. If you have a good quarterback in the MAC, you can almost guarantee you’ll be playing at the top of the conference. It’s a lot like high school football that way. One or two good quarterbacks are miles ahead of the rest that it isn’t even fair. This year it’s Logan Woodside of Toledo who is miles and miles ahead. They have two recent MAC Championships in 2013 and 2015. One with Dave Clawson and another with Dino Babers. They moved on to greener pastures, and Bowling Green hasn’t been the same since 2015.

The Falcons lost a boatload after that season, and it’s surely shown on the field. Like I’ve said before, the MAC can change in just a year. A team that was the best can regress all the way to the bottom, notably if they lose their competent quarterback. There isn’t much competency at quarterback in this game for either side. Kent State operates the triple-option, a weird variation of the triple-option.

It’s almost like they don’t have the right personnel to run it effectively and it looks like a pile of confusion in most instances. Adding to their issues is the fact that they don’t have a quarterback who can pass. Even if you’re a school who has a triple-option offense, you must have a quarterback who can pass it here and there today. George Bollas has been trying at quarterback, but he’s passed for 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. In three games this season, Bollas has been held to under 15 yards passing. They get a home game tonight, though, against a struggling Bowling Green squad. We’ll see if anything changes for him. Head below for our free Bowling Green vs. Kent State pick.

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Odds:

Bowling Green -2.5(-110)
vs. Kent State +2.5(-110)

Over 51(-110)
Under 51(-110)

Betting odds provided by

Bowling Green vs. Kent State Pick:

Kent State doesn’t have many options if they fall behind. They don’t have anyone who can throw the football, so it’s run the ball and hope for the best. Maybe they bust off a run, but given the blowouts they’ve been involved in, a big run or two just isn’t going to cut it. Kent State are 129th with 250 yards per game. The only team worse than them in the FBS is UTEP. With respects to points allowed, Kent State are dead last with only 10 points scored per game.

The most points they’ve scored against an FBS school this season was 17 against Miami-Ohio. That’s not going to do the job. The Golden Flashes have scored 3 or less points in five of eight games. In college football in this era, that’s pretty well unheard of with these kinds of high-powered offenses. There are some programs that score 30 points and it’s a bad day at the office. For Kent State, two touchdowns is a major accomplishment. Kent State are 85th out of 130 teams in the FBS at running the ball. This is a team who does nothing but run it, and they’re still that bad.

In comparison, Bowling Green has an offense Kent State only wishes they had. Bowling Green are averaging around 20 points per game, which isn’t good, but they’re doubling Kent State up in that regard. If we’re comparing them to the rest of college football, though, they are bad, too. Bowling Green have averaged 373 yards per game for 115th in the nation.

Quarterback James Morgan has been erratic, passing for 9 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, with a horrible 45.3% completion percentage. The defenses have not been playing well either, but that should look respectable against these dumpster fire offenses. Kent State will chew up clock with their anemic outfit on offense. It’s not a big play by any means, but the UNDER is worth a look on Tuesday, if you’re looking for pigskin to bet on Tuesday night.

PICK: UNDER 51 (-110)

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