Broncos Chargers Spread Line and MNF Prediction and Picks

The San Diego Chargers have now had there one allotted week of rest and now they must show up for the latter part of their schedule if they have any aspirations of landing in Dallas in February. Phillip Rivers’ quest for a 5,000-yard season is unlikely to hit a bump against one of the league’s struggling defenses. The Chargers are likely to get back key pass-catchers like Malcom Floyd and Antonio Gates, as well. If the Broncs find that their down 30 in the second half, the Broncos will keep throwing the ball as Kyle Orton takes aim at the record books. Broncos WR Brandon Lloyd has been the game’s most consistent deep threat all season. The (5-4) San Diego Chargers will look to keep pace with the surging Kansas City Chiefs atop the AFC West ranks as they battle the (3-6) Denver Broncos on primetime Monday night, kickoff slated for 8:30 PM EST. If Denver can’t run the ball — and it usually can’t — keeping Rivers off the field will be difficult.

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The Broncos will be coming into this Week 11 matchup with a 3-6 record and an outside chance of making the playoffs, but I believe the San Diego Chargers will be on their game on their home field at Qualcomm Stadium this weekend and come out with their fifth win of the season. The Broncos are a very inconsistent team. They can score 49 points one week against the Chiefs and score 14 and 17 points the two weeks prior to that. Kyle Orton is having a good season putting fantasy numbers along with Brandon Lloyd (968 YDs 6 TDs) but they will need to avenge their road woes if they have any hopes of leaving the west coast with a victory. Orton has spearheaded Broncos’ attack. He had a career-high four touchdown passes in the Broncos’ blowout victory over the Chiefs a week ago and already is within 194 yards of the second 3,000-yard season of his career. Broncos cornerback Champ Bailey says Rivers, who leads the NFL with 2,944 yards passing, has put together his strongest season yet even though injuries have at times thinned the team’s receiving ranks. For the Broncos to walk into Qualcomm and pull off an upset they will need to limit the time the Chargers have their offense on the field and they will have to rely on pounding the rock and milking some of the clock.

The only interesting thing that remains here lies in seeing how the San Diego Chargers rise up just enough this time around as the other three teams wake up to remember their playoff hopes were only dreams. It’s not all their fault; they’ve tried – Oakland and Kansas City both defeated San Diego earlier in the year – but there is no stopping this. The Chargers can afford to goof off, wade through injuries, lose stupid games to the likes of Seattle and St. Louis, and fail to play any sort of respectable special teams because they have the division’s superior talent, plain and simple. The gap between San Diego and whomever you believe number two is in the race may be closing now, but for many years it wasn’t even close. They’d gotten used to only needing to flip the proverbial sports switch for half a season. This method hasn’t backfired on them in the recent past, and it appears they are fine with continuing the trend. Even the NFL knows it’s better to hide San Diego away in the late afternoon CBS game timeslot until at least mid-November. Since their week one loss in Kansas City, part of the Monday Night Football doubleheader, the Chargers have been featured in a grand total of zero primetime games. On the injury front, it looks like Ryan Mathews will probably not play with the high ankle sprain. It is not certain but even if he does suit up he will be very limited. Mathews has not had that 100 plus yard game or three touchdown performance to bring the Chargers fans on his band wagon, but if you watch him run he has great ability to run threw tackles and the acceleration to get through the holes. Also Antonio Gates will definitely not be at full speed this week but I would expect him to play. This is nothing new for Rivers, as we all know the Chargers have been injured at the skill positions all season long. It will be on Rivers once again and whoever gets an opportunity, to make it happen on Monday.

Broncos vs Chargers Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


Denver Broncos +9
@ San Diego Chargers -9

Game Total:

Over (-110)
Under (-110)

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Broncos vs Chargers Betting Predictions for Week 11:

Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY) – The Broncos got their third win of the season last week against the superior Kansas City; they did it by a score of 49-29, which had everyone asking, “Where did that come from?” Denver can pass the ball and do it well, ranking 2nd in the league with nearly 300 a game, problem is they don’t do much else. That win ended a four game losing streak and included a loss to San Francisco. San Diego is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver and are 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home. On the other hand, Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games and are 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego. Last week’s win was a fluke and will change no one’s opinion, including San Diego’s. The Chargers may only have one more win than the Broncos but are a vastly better team. They can pass the ball just as well- Phil Rivers is arguably the best QB in football right now, and they feature a strong defense that can neutralize Denver’s air attack. One interesting tidbit, pulled up from the NFL archives, the Denver Broncos are 30% ATS when playing on Monday nights since Monday night football came into existence. The Broncos have been inconsistent on offense this year, but they have been consistently bad on defense this season. With the Chargers number one offense going up against a Broncos Defense that is 25th in total defense and 19th in pass defense and 30th in rush defense in the NFL. The Chargers should have no problem moving up and down the field and hopefully putting the ball in the end zone multiple times. Look for the Chargers to even their record and remind the Broncos that they are bottom feeders.

Top Play Prediction = Chargers -9

Game Total Prediction – 50 points to these two clubs is an absolute insult. These football teams are built to score, case in point last week when the Broncos hammered 49 on the Chiefs and two weeks ago when the Chargers walked into Houston and laid 29. The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 8 games and has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 8 games on the road. Conversely, the total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 8 games and has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego’s last 9 games at home. Denver has the revenge factor coming into affect this game as they will look to exert some frustration and anger from their 29 point whipping last year at the hands of the Chargers. This game saw the Chargers scored an unneeded touchdown as time expired. San Diego needs to reel off some consecutive victories in order to keep pace with the Chiefs so QB Phillip Rivers should be slinging the ball in every direction on the field come Monday. We will consider the OVER in this crucial game for both clubs, just too much offense. Cheers!

Prediction = OVER 50 Total Points

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