Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons Pick – NCAAF Week 12

The Buffalo Bulls and Bowling Green Falcons meet at Bowling Green State University on Tuesday night in the kickoff of college football in Week 12. It’s Week 12 in college football, but this is only Week 3 for the MAC. MAC schools have played two games each. And while we don’t have too much of a sample size to draw any conclusions in this conference, a small picture is beginning to emerge. Bowling Green and Akron aren’t winning the MAC Championship. We can just get that out of the way right now.

They appear ready to pack it in and head to the offseason only two games in. A lack of time to prepare for teams with little talent usually doesn’t go too well. Buffalo on the other hand has to be in consideration for the best team in the MAC. I’m not ready to say they actually are in a conference that is so wide open, but Buffalo are going to be tough for any team in the MAC to slow down. Their running game has the potential to bulldoze the opposition. They’ve already done it to Northern Illinois and Miami Ohio.

The defense wasn’t working for them in their first game against Northern Illinois. It was a disappointment because we knew that Buffalo was capable of more, especially up front on their defensive line. Buffalo put everything together versus Miami the following week. Miami, who are regarded as a better team than Northern Illinois, were blasted by the Bulls, 42-10. Good luck stopping Jaret Patterson and Kevin Marks when they get running downhill. That’s essentially the blueprint to stopping Buffalo. Much easier said than done.

No defensive line in the MAC wants to line up and get pummeled for four quarters against Buffalo. I think that’s going to happen often in this shortened season, though. Is Bowling Green going to have an answer for Buffalo on Tuesday night? They are going to an answer and more if they’re going to pull off a huge upset. It wouldn’t get much attention, but a win for Bowling Green will go down as one of the biggest upsets of the 2020 season. The Falcons are coming off a 38-3 loss against Toledo and 62-24 against Kent State in games that were anything but competitive. They will need to be better in all aspects for an upset. Head below for our free Buffalo vs. Bowling Green pick for November 17, 2020.

Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons MAC Football Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Buffalo -31 (-108)
  • Bowling Green +31 (-112)
Moneyline:

  • Buffalo +1500
  • Bowling Green -4000
Total:

  • Over 60 (-105)
  • Under 60 (-115)

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Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Prediction:

Bowling Green must stack the box and hope for the best on Tuesday night. Forcing Kyle Vantrease to beat them through the air is their only chance of pulling off the upset. The problem with that is Vantrease is more than capable of dropping back in the pocket and doing damage with his arm.

Vantrease is coming off a big performance last week, as he diced up Miami for 353 yards and 4 touchdowns. He’s passed for 5 touchdowns and 1 interception on 63.6% completions. If Bowling Green wants to put everyone close to the line, Vantrease is likely going to be thrilled. In other words, that strategy will not work for the Falcons.

The Bulls have put up 456.5 yards and 45.5 points per game this season. They should be able to handle this terrible Bowling Green defense with ease. Bowling Green has gotten raked across the coals for 100 points in the first two games. Kent State demolished Bowling Green for 62 points in a 62-24 game last week.

There were three running backs on Kent State that recorded over 7 yards per carry. To make matters worse, Dustin Crum was able to do whatever he wanted to do through the air. Crum passed for 271 yards and 4 touchdowns with no interceptions. Kent State did whatever they wanted to do offensively, and I believe we are likely going to see the same thing on Tuesday night.

I was concerned with the Buffalo defense in the first game, but they bounced back and played up to expectation against Miami. The RedHawks were stifled 10 points, with AJ Mayer passing for just 116 yards, and their leading rusher gaining 37 yards on the ground. This really looks like a tough spot for Bowling Green quarterback Matt McDonald.

McDonald has been well off the mark in 2020 for the Falcons. He’s thrown for no touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 28% completions. That’s horrifically bad and I don’t know how much longer Bowling Green could stick with him. I don’t see a matchup against the talented Buffalo defensive line fixing what ails him. I’m on Buffalo to win and cover the spread here by a score of 48-14.

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The Bet
BUFFALO BULLS -31
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.