Central Florida Knights vs. South Florida Bulls Pick – NCAAF Week 13

Black Friday is known for being a rivalry day in college football. The entire long weekend for that matter has rivalry games, and then they carry over into next weekend. The featured rivalry for this weekend is Auburn and Alabama, which always takes place a day after Black Friday. The Iron Bowl should be a good one, but it will have to take place without Nick Saban. Saban tested positive for the coronaviru, so he will not be on the sidelines.

This is the second time Saban has tested positive. The first time might have very well been a false positive. He did not experience any symptoms and was back to coaching quickly. However, the second time, reports indicate that Saban is experiencing symptoms. The symptoms are reportedly mild, so there doesn’t appear to be any cause for concern with his diagnosis. Alabama should still be a well-oiled machine despite no Saban on the sideline.

I don’t see an upset in that matchup, but Auburn has been playing really well recently, so we’ll have to see. For Central Florida, this has been a down season by their standards. They are going into Friday with a record of 5-3. Instead of being a New Year’s Six bowl buster, the Knights are going to have to settle for a lower-tier bowl game. That said, Central Florida is still a wildly successful program that committees would want to see in their bowl.

Their losses in 2020 have been against Tulsa, 34-26, Memphis, 50-49, and Cincinnati last week, 36-33. All of those games could have gone in the opposite direction, so it’s been a frustrating season if you look it at like that. We’re talking about UCF as a 5-3 team, but they could easily be 7-1 at the very least. Winning close games is all part of the game of football, though, and UCF couldn’t convert. They get more of a lay up this week against South Florida, but in a rivalry game, anything could happen.

It’s been a rough season for South Florida, as they head into the War on I-4 with a record of 1-7. The program was unable to maintain progress made by Willie Taggart, as Charlie Strong regressed hard after a 10-2 campaign. Former Clemson wide receiver coach and co-OC, Jeff Scott, is tasked with getting the Bulls in the right direction. It was only in 2016 and 2017 when this school was a 11-2 and 10-2 team. Head below for our free Central Florida vs. South Florida pick for November 27, 2020.

Central Florida Knights vs. South Florida Bulls AAC Football Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • UCF -25 (-105)
  • USF +25 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • UCF -2500
  • USF +1050
Total:

  • Over 67 (-110)
  • Under 67 (-110)

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Central Florida vs. South Florida Prediction:

South Florida should be motivated for this game on Friday. If there’s anything trending in their favor it has to be that. Upsets happen during rivalry games because of the motivation factor, but do the Bulls have any talent in their stable to keep this game close? South Florida has one win, which came against The Citadel on September 12. Since that warm up game, South Florida has lost seven straight outings.

Their most recent loss was a 56-21 blowout against Houston. This was after South Florida had their best effort of the year. They came a point away in a 34-33 loss versus Memphis. The Bulls were up going into the fourth quarter, but Memphis outscored USF 14-3 to end that. They apparently didn’t have anything left in the tank for their game a week later against Houston.

The Bulls are near the back of the FBS offensively, with an average of 330.3 yards and 20.3 points per game. Jordan McCloud would not be starting for South Florida if they had a better option at quarterback. Through seven games, McCloud has passed for 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Three of those touchdowns were against one team, Temple. McCould has been fine enough to play game manager, but he is far from a difference maker.

I think South Florida is going to need a difference maker to step up for an upset on Friday. There has to be somebody to counterpunch Dillon Gabriel. Gabriel has been incredibly efficient with 26 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 61.7% completions. There is a possibility we see McKenzie Milton complete his improbable comeback story on Friday. Milton, who shattered his leg in 2018, and underwent multiple surgeries, he could get some snaps on Friday. That might provide this entire team with enough fire to play hard on Friday. It’s an inspirational story.

The Knights are ranked second in the FBS with 586.6 yards and 42.6 points scored per game. And along with an inept offense, South Florida has not had success defensively either. It could be worse, but 37.6 points per game against is nothing to aim for. South Florida were a better team in 2019 and lost 34-7 in this contest a year ago. The Knights have to be angry following their loss last week. Expect them to take it out on the hapless 1-7 Bulls on Friday. A final score of 42-14 looks about right.

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The Bet
UCF KNIGHTS -25
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.