Central Michigan vs. Kent State Pick – NCAAF Week 12

What a dumpster fire of a Sunday. The Buffalo Bills didn’t show up, lose by the hook in Tennessee, and then the UNDER fails to hit on SNF due to ineptness by Denver special teams. The Patriots scored 24 points off special team miscues. One special team mistake? Okay. Several in one game? There is a problem there. It started with a muffed punt return, and then the Patriots returned a kickoff return. A blocked punt which resulted in an easy 3 points for the Patriots. Finally, the Broncos had too many men on the field on a Pats 4th down, resulting in a 1st down on 4th and 5.

Other than that, the defense was getting pushed around as well. I think, though, if they didn’t muff that kick their body language would have been a little different throughout the game. The Broncos’ defense came out and forced a 3 and out, but then they turned the ball right over, and already looked defeated from that point. It would have been an interesting game without those mistakes, but that’s a part of football.

NHL and NFL were not strong at all last week. If there was a saving grace it was college football. We swept the weekday card going 4-0 and finished 6-2 overall. In particular, the MAC and Sun Belt were money makers. Let’s head to the campus of Kent State in Ohio, where the powerhouse Golden Flashes are looking for any kind of success of forward progress. I don’t know why I’m going to put myself through the punishment of watching another Kent State game, but here we go again in Week 12.

Kent State actually have 2 wins on the year, believe it or not. They are what I consider the worst team in the nation with 2 wins. If you’ve watched them you have to wonder how they managed to muster up a couple of weeks. They found a 38-31 win against Howard in early September, and then have a 17-14 win against Miami-Ohio on October 14th.

That’s one Miami-Ohio will look back at and can’t help but feel some embarrassment. George Bollas will try and find a rhythm against Central Michigan, something has had difficulty accomplishing. He’s a wide receiver trying to play quarterback, that’s the best way to describe him. If you recall, Julian Edelman was the starting quarterback at Kent State when he was in college.

Edelman of course isn’t a quarterback, nor should Bollas be a quarterback at the D1 level. Difference being, Bollas isn’t going to have an NFL career. Kent State was expecting Nick Holley to be their starter, but an injury in September put an end to those plans. For Central Michigan, they must avoid a letdown after playing good football lately. Head below for our free Central Michigan vs. Kent State pick.

Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Kent State Golden Flashes Pick

Central Michigan -17.5(-110)
vs. Kent State +17.5(-110)

Over 46.5(-110)
Under 46.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Central Michigan vs. Kent State Pick:

Michigan fans may recognize Central’s starting quarterback. Former Wolverine, Shane Morris, is concluding his career as a fifth-year senior at Central Michigan. Morris never panned out at Michigan. He came in as a highly touted recruit under Brady Hoke, but he wasn’t able to develop. His biggest highlight from Michigan had to be the game Hoke left him in when he got cranked and came up wobbly after.

At the MAC level, Morris has looked much better and more comfortable in the offense. He no longer has to read Big Ten defenses in the MAC and it certainly shows with his numbers. Morris has notably been warming of recently. He has thrown 8 touchdown passes and no interceptions. At Michigan he finished his career with 5 interceptions and no touchdowns.

The recent rise in production from the Chippewas is directly correlated with the play from Morris. The last time they had a solid quarterback at Central was maybe Dan LeFevour? LeFevour is in the CFL at the moment, but is better known as being Antonio Brown’s quarterback in college. It’s going to be a one and done for Morris, though, who will lose eligibility after this season. He’s soaking his last year in, including a win over rival Western Michigan. They’re 3-0 in their last three, with wins over Ball State, Western Michigan, and Eastern Michigan. They’ve averaged 44.3 points per game across those three games. The running game has also sprung to life, as they’ve averaged over 200 yards per game during that stretch.

Conversely, Kent State have lost three in a row, and seven of their last eight games. In their last three outings, the Golden Flashes allowed 46.4 points per game. I’ve heard a few people note that Kent State have a decent defense. Maybe their basketball team, but certainly not football. Kent State are surrendering 35.5 points per game, 111th in the FBS. When you compare their defense to their offense, you could make an argument that’s the strength of their team, though.

Note that Kent State are 129th on offense, with just 11.6 points scored per game. Bollas enters this game with 2 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on the year. So, yeah, that 111th ranked defense is good in comparison to that abomination. Central Michigan clinched a bowl game with their 6th win last week, so the only argument, I believe, you could make for Kent State is that the Chippewas will slack off going on the road against a bad school. This is also senior night for Kent State. Head coach of Kent State, Paul Haynes, stated that they’ll go into tonight with a lot of guys out because of injuries, however. It’s hard to make a case for the Golden Flashes. As long as Central Michigan doesn’t completely sleepwalk through this one on Tuesday night, they should cover the 17.5.


Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.