Chiefs Chargers Spread Betting Line and Picks Week 14

The San Diego Chargers have dominated the AFC West division over the last several years, but the tide has begun to turn. Kansas City has emerged as one of the surprise teams this year, and they’re up against a Chargers team who’ll be looking for revenge for a week 1 loss and a loss last week at home versus the Raiders.

The story in this game is the absence of Kansas City’s QB Matt Cassel. The Chiefs will have to turn to Brody Croyle. Croyle is a major step down from Cassel, having thrown only 8 TD’s and 8 INT’s in his 4 year career as the Chiefs backup. Drafted by the Chiefs in the 3rd round of the 2006 NFL draft, KC expected Croyle to eventually take over as the number 1 QB, but proved to be ineffective. Cassel has thrown for a staggering 23 TD’s and 4 INT’s this year. Cassel’s accuracy and proficiency has come because of the Chiefs running game which ranks number 1 in the league. Jamal Charles and Thomas Jones have spearheaded the best running back tandem since Jones and Shonn Greene with the Jets last year. KC beat the Broncos 10-6 last week, putting up their fewest points of the year. This was to be expected after 3 straight weeks of 30 plus points.

The Chargers are a better team than their record indicates this year, ranking in the top 5 in offense, while ranking 1st in total defence. However San Diego’s special teams have hurt them all year long, and is a big reason as to why they are 6-6. They also dropped their first 4 road games, and lost a huge divisional game to Oakland last week. The inability of GM A.J Smith to sign Vincent Jackson has also proven to be a major problem for San Diego, after being hit with some crucial injuries to wide outs, including Antonio Gates, during the middle part of the season.

The Chiefs won the first contest between these two teams 21-14, and this week, regardless of Cassel’s absence, will be a tough game of football.

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Chiefs Chargers Spread line, Betting Odds:

Spread:

Kansas City Chiefs +9.5
@ San Diego Chargers -9.5

Game Total:

Over (-110)
45.5
Under (-110)

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Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 14 Betting:

Spread Prediction (Top Play): The line in this game started out at 6.5 but was adjusted because of Cassel’s injury. Croyle is a below average QB and he’s facing the best defense in the league at home coming off a disappointing loss. All signals point to a big Chargers win, and I’m making it my top play. Rivers is an elite QB who plays his best football in December. This is a true must win for SD in every sense of the word, and the Chiefs are a young team who’ve only won 1 of 5 on the road. I like the Chargers to come out and blow this game open early.

Spread Prediction = Chargers -9.5

Game Total Prediction: The Chiefs put up back to back to back 30 plus point games before their stinker against the Broncos last week. They rank in the top 10 in points, but without Cassel I don’t think they’ll keep this one close enough to go over the number. The Chargers have a very potent attack but their rushing game is lacking, ranking 17th in the league. I like this game to stay under the number.

Total Prediction = Under 45.5

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