Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Pick – NCAAF Week 6

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are making noise once again this season. After a 11-1 season a year ago, Coastal Carolina is at it again with a record of 5-0 entering Thursday night. Their only loss was against another mid-major that had a memorable campaign.

Liberty and Coastal Carolina met in the Cure Bowl, with Liberty emerging with a 37-34 win in overtime. I think Coastal Carolina had to be disappointed that they weren’t going to a bigger game than the Cure Bowl, but pairing two mid-major powerhouses in a bowl was a good move. It worked out, as that was one of the more entertaining bowl games from last season.

Coastal Carolina is off to a 5-0 start and the No. 15 team in the country. The Chanticleers are coming off a blowout of UL Monroe, 59-6. This was after blowing the doors off UMass, 53-3. Neither of those opponents is a tough opponent. In fact, UL Monroe and UMass are two of the worst in the FBS.

The Chanticleers haven’t had a tough team on their schedule yet. They were tested against Buffalo in a 28-25 win on the road three weeks back, but that’s the only time the Chanticleers have had to sweat. In any case, Coastal Carolina is doing their jobs, and blowing out UL Monroe and UMass is what they had to do and they did it.

Arkansas State is another cupcake team for Coastal Carolina. If they care this shouldn’t be a tough one, but the Chanticleers have Appalachian State next week. That is the one caveat in this matchup. Coastal Carolina can’t look ahead to Appalachian State, or that’s where it could get interesting on Thursday night.

There was a brief scare regarding a potential Grayson McCall injury, but head coach Jamey Chadwell has indicated that McCall is fine and ready to start at Arkansas State. The Red Wolves welcome Coastal Carolina following a 59-33 loss against Georgia Southern on the road.

Arkansas State is going into this showdown with a record of 4-1, with their only win against Central Arkansas, 40-21, to open the season. It’s been ugly since then, but they were competitive in a 55-50 loss against Memphis, and a touchdown away in a 41-34 loss on the road versus Tulsa. Head below for our free Coastal Carolina vs. Arkansas State pick on October 7, 2021.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Coastal Carolina -19 (-115) OFF Over 72.5 (-125)
Arkansas State +19 (-105) OFF Under 72.5 (+105)
Team Data Coastal Carolina Arkansas State
Overall Record 5-0 1-4
ATS Record 4-1-0 3-2-0
Away/Home Record 1-0 1-1
ATS Away/Home 0-1-0 2-0-0
Points Per Game 48.2 32
Points Against Per Game 14 45.6
Passing Yards Per Game 270.6 377
Rushing Yards Per Game 255.4 94.2

Coastal Carolina vs. Arkansas State Prediction:

Coastal Carolina can do just about everything right, which makes them so dangerous. This is a battle of a well-rounded team versus a one-dimensional Arkansas State team. Arkansas State can pass the ball around, but they have no defense and can’t run the ball.

The Red Wolves have passed for 377 yards per game for fifth in the FBS. They can be a fun team to watch with James Blackman and Layne Hatcher throwing the ball around. Blackman has passed for 1,264 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 59.3% completions.

The grad transfer from Florida State has shared time with Hatcher, who has passed for 621 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 62% completions. They’ve been a solid 1-2 punch for Arkansas State, but there’s no run game to help. The Red Wolves are 119th in the FBS with just 94.2 rushing yards per game.

Coastal Carolinas has the talent on defense to neutralize Blackman and Hatcher. When Arkansas State had to play a real defense like Washington, they lost with just 3 points in a 52-3 defeat. Blackman had 176 yards, while Hatcher passed for 44 yards and an interception. The Chanticleers rank as one of the best in the nation against the pass.

Coastal Carolina vs. Arkansas State Betting Trends:

Coastal Carolina

  • 10-3-2 ATS in their previous 15 games
  • 6-0 overall in their previous six games on the road
  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games on the road
  • 7-1-1 ATS in their previous nine games versus the Sun Belt
  • 10-3-1 ATS in their previous 14 games after a win
  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games versus a team with a losing record

Arkansas State

  • 4-2 ATS in their previous six games
  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games versus the Sun Belt East
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games versus the Sun Belt
  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games in October

Coastal Carolina are third in the FBS with 131.8 yards allowed per game through the air. We saw what happened to the Red Wolves when they had to play a competent defense like Washington.

If anything, Coastal Carolina can be run on with 153.2 yards conceded per game. However, Arkansas State doesn’t have a run game to exploit the Chanticleers. They’ll have to throw into the teeth of a quality Coastal Carolina secondary.

It’s tough to see how Arkansas State will stop Grayson McCall. McCall passed for 26 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 68.6% completions last year. He is on a similar path this season, with 10 touchdowns and 1 interception on 80.2% completions.

McCall doesn’t make mistakes, and Arkansas State isn’t the defense to force him into any. The Red Wolves have allowed 563.8 yards and 45.6 points per game for one of the worst defenses in the nation. They’ve been shredded on the ground and through the air, so it’s hard to see Arkansas State offering much resistance.

Coastal Carolina went on the road and beat Arkansas State 53-23 last year. If the Chanticleers are interested in going to Arkansas State tonight, they should do something similar. This number looks too short.


Coastal Carolina vs. Arkansas State Pick