Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos Pick – NCAAF Week 11

There is one game on the college football schedule on Thursday night. It’s on the blue turf in Idaho at Boise State University. The Broncos will be there, as they play host to the Colorado State Rams at Albertsons Stadium. Boise State are coming off a humiliating performance against the BYU Cougars last week.

They were regarded as the biggest test between BYU going undefeated or losing a game this season. It wasn’t much of a test at all, as BYU plowed over Boise State for a 51-17 win. BYU wanted to show that their season is no fluke, and they made a statement with that victory over the Broncos.

It does not appear like BYU is going to run into any problems this season with Boise State out of the way. San Diego State might be their biggest challenger left on the schedule. Barring a letdown spot, I don’t see BYU losing that game or any other. Then it would turn to a New Year’s Six bowl committee to decide if they want to invite the Cougars.

With less bowl games being played this season, and committees able to ignore the six-win rule, Boise State must finish strong to get an invite. Boise State goes into Thursday night with a record of 2-1. They have a 42-13 win over Utah State and a 49-30 win over Air Force. Neither team is particularly good, so we didn’t know much about the Broncos at that point.

It didn’t help at all that starting quarterback Jack Sears had to exit the game in the first quarter with a head injury. Sears was 4 for 4 with 41 yards before getting injured. Tough break for the Broncos, but with their defense getting punched in the mouth, it wouldn’t have mattered who was at QB for Boise State.

Cade Fennegan was called on unexpectedly and he did the best he could against a talented Cougars’ defense. Fennegan got some valuable experience, as he passed for 182 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception. You can’t expect much more out of him. Fennegan was put into a tough spot and he handled it well, all things considered.

Boise State has a much easier assignment on Thursday night. They can’t take Colorado State lightly, but the Rams should present an easier road. Colorado State are 1-1 on the season, with a 38-17 loss to Fresno State, and 34-24 win over Wyoming last week. That was a good win over the Cowboys, though a larger test looms on Thursday night on the road. Head below for our free Colorado State vs. Boise State pick for November 12, 2020.

Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Colorado St. +14 (-112)
  • Boise St. -14 (-108)
Moneyline:

  • Colorado St. +430
  • Boise St. -550
Total:

  • Over 60 (-110)
  • Under 60 (-110)

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Colorado State vs. Boise State Prediction:

Boise State were embarrassed on their homefield last week against BYU. How do they respond to that awful performance? I like to think that we’re going to see the Broncos in much better form versus an inferior opponent tonight. BYU are on another level this season, and getting drilled by them isn’t the most unexpected thing in the world. With Cade Fannegan likely getting the start for Boise State on Thursday night, he should be much more comfortable after a week of practice with the first-team.

Fannegan was thrown into the fire versus a dangerous BYU team, and he did well enough with 182 yards and 2 touchdowns. Colorado State is not going to present nearly as difficult of a task on Thursday night. The Rams’ defense might have looked good against Wyoming last week. However, I wouldn’t put too much stock in that game. Wyoming has one of the worst offenses in the Mountain West. That was mainly why Colorado State was able to hold them to 24 points.

An average Fresno State offense was able to cut through the Rams easily in Week 1 of the Mountain West. The Bulldogs racked up 38 points in a 38-17 victory in California. Jake Haenar passed for 311 yards and 3 touchdowns for Fresno. Ronnie Rivers arrived in the end zone twice, as he ran for 95 yards and 2 touchdowns on 4.1 yards per carry.

Boise State might not be a full strength in this one, but I believe that’s closer to the Colorado State defense we’re going to see on the blue turf on Thursday. Steve Addazio is all about playing strong defense and running the ball effectively. I think he’s a year or two away from implementing what he wants at Colorado State, though.

Despite the solid performance against Wyoming, we have to realize it’s Wyoming. After getting run off the field on their homefield, expect Boise State to come back with some fight. It’s unlikely they allow the Rams to dictate this game. The defense should be a little more fired up to avenge that shoddy performance against a vanilla Colorado State offense. I like Boise State in a 41-24 game on Thursday night.

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The Bet
BOISE STATE BRONCOS -14
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.