Colorado vs. USC NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Colorado Buffaloes hope to throw their hat into the ring with the Pac-12 elite, as they head to Pasadena with a battle with the USC Trojans. Colorado enter with a perfect 5-0 record after a 28-21 win over Arizona State last week. It may not look like much, but the Sun Devils are actually a decent team under Herm Edwards. The defense is much more physical than it’s been in the past, so that wasn’t a win over a pushover. That didn’t count as a signature win, though.

Beating USC on the road in California would give them that win. USC had to hold on against Arizona two weeks ago after it looked like they were in complete control. The Trojans have the added benefit of playing the Buffaloes off a bye. If they spent two weeks believing that Colorado is going to be a free pass, then that’s going to be the opening the Buffaloes need to take advantage.

USC have had a topsy-turvy season. This team always goes into the year with expectations and they always seem to flop. I think Clay Helton as their head coach is just a waste of time. I’m not much of a fan of Helton at USC. He may give them some winning seasons, but in my opinion, not going to be able to get them over the hump. Just getting to bowl games shouldn’t be acceptable. USC has to get back to being a national contender and I’m not sure Helton has the ability to do that.

The Trojans enter Saturday with a record of 3-2. They got by Arizona by a score of 24-20 and 39-36 against Washington State. A missed roughing the passer call would have possibly given Washington State a win in that one. They’ve also suffered a couple of losses in big games. A 17-3 loss against Stanford and 37-14 loss to Texas. Their other win came vs UNLV in the opener, 43-21, a game that the Rebels were hanging around in until the second-half. USC may have gotten some extra rest for this matchup, but Colorado are going into Saturday with plenty of confidence. Get our free Colorado vs. USC pick below.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. USC Trojans NCAAF Betting Odds:

Colorado +7(-110)
vs. USC -7(-110)

Over 57(-110)
Under 57(-110)

Betting odds provided by

Colorado vs. USC Pick:

The catalyst of Colorado’s resurgence in 2018 has been the play of junior quarterback, Steven Montez. Montez has developed perfectly and is beginning to reach his full potential this season. In his first full season as the starter in Boulder, Montez passed for 2,975 yards with 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. He also rushed for 338 yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground.

Montez is on pace to shatter those numbers this year. The junior has been sharp with 11 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions, while completing 75.2% of his passes. He has generated some buzz in NFL circles as well. If Montez continues playing at this pace, his stock is going to fly up. A solid performance against USC would garner attention from the national media. He has some help with a solid running back led by Travon McMillan, who is averaging 6.3 yards a pop and gained 528 yards rushing.

Colorado have averaged 491 yards per game for 18th in the country. They are also scoring 37.8 points per game. Colorado have also been tough to put points up on. They’ve given up just 18.4 points per game, which is good for 21st in the nation. Conversely, USC are 67th with 26.2 points allowed per game.

This game features veteran Montez against the freshman from USC, J.T. Daniels. Daniels has been up and down in his first-year of college ball. He missed several wide-open deep balls against Arizona last week which would have resulted in big plays. The short and immediate routes he has looked good, but accuracy has become an issue when he looks to go deep. There is still a lot of room left for him to develop into his true potential.

Daniels has tossed 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions with a 60.5% completion percentage. He must deal with a secondary that have allowed only 201 passing yards per game. Give me the team riding a ton of confidence from Boulder going into Pasadena on Saturday night. The line should be 4.5 or 5. I’m under the impression USC are getting a couple extra points because of the brand name school playing against a team who is perceived to the public as a second-tier team in the Pac-12.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.