Cowboys Colts Spread Line and Betting Predictions

The Indianapolis Colts are in unfamiliar territory of late having lost 2 straight games. Last week Manning was picked off 4 times in a loss to the Chargers at Lucas Oil Stadium and he’ll be looking forward to getting back on track this week against the Cowboys. Dallas fell behind early to the Saints on Thanksgiving, but made a game of it late and ended up falling short by 3 points. The matchup between the Cowboys and Colts kicks off at 4:15 p.m. EST this week from Indianapolis.

The Colts are having trouble in pass protection at the moment and the Chargers did exactly what the Saints did to Peyton in the Super Bowl last year. They got passed the offensive line and force Manning to move outside the numbers where he’s not nearly as comfortable throwing the ball. The result was 4 INT’s and a big win for the Chargers. Indi haven’t had much success running the ball this year, but will try and be balanced this week and control the game. Perhaps the most valuable part of the Colts game at home this year has been their pass rush. DE’s Freeney and Mathis will be up against Cowboys’ Tackles Mark Columbo and Doug Free. If the Cowboys can get to Kitna and make him move around, they’ll be able to force a few turnovers.

Kitna’s making a pretty strong case to be a viable option at QB somewhere next year, as he’s playing very well in relief of Tony Romo. The Cowboys are no longer a big story in the league as people have gotten used to the fact that they won’t be making the playoffs. Now they’re just trying to give Jerry Jones a reason to keep Jason Garrett as their coach for next year. They’re finally playing exciting football and are playing their best football during the toughest part of their schedule. With Philly next week on Prime Time, the Cowboys may be looking ahead to next week, and you never want to give Peyton an easy way out.

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Cowboys vs. Colts Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Dallas Cowboys +5.5
@ Indianapolis Colts -5.5

Game Total:

Over (-110)
47.5
Under (-110)

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Cowboys vs. Colts Prediction for Week 13 Betting:

Spread Prediction (Top Play): The general consensus is that Manning doesn’t lose when coming off a loss, and it usually holds up to be true. Last week many betters fell victim to the mantra that Manning is automatic coming off a loss. Well what many of them forgot is that every great player has his kryptonite. Manning’s is the San Diego Chargers. They’ve had his number his whole career, so looking at last week’s loss to them doesn’t really paint the picture for this week’s game vs. the Cowboys. But the fact is, the Colts have played in very close games all year. Their defense has let them down. Since their week 5 win over the Chiefs, they’ve lost 3 and won 4, with 3 of those 4 victories coming by 6 points or less (3 vs. Washington, 2 vs. Philly, 6 vs. Cinci). The Cowboys have a good enough team to keep this game close and even pull off the upset. The odds makers have been pretty spot on in the Colts last several games and when the experts have a feel for a team, the best bet is to roll with it. A 5.5 point spread is very telling, and often shows less confidence in a favorite than a 3.5 point spread. I almost always take the 5.5 points, and the way the Cowboys are playing of late I think this is a very good play.

Top Play Prediction = Dallas + 5.5

Game Total Prediction: This number will be close. The Colts are ranked 6th against the pass, but 3rd last against the run. The Cowboys have a poor running game and have gone pass heavy since Jason Garrett took over. But the Colts also have a poor running game too, and will be going with Donald Brown again this week because of the injury to Mike Hart. Hart is the most talented back in the Colts backfield, and has been missed the last few weeks. I like this game to go Over given how well the Cowboys offense has been playing with Kitna behind centre. They’ve put up 33, 25, and 27 in their last 3 games, and can certainly reach those numbers this week with big playmakers like Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and Felix Jones at their disposal.

Prediction = Over 47.5

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