Another big Saturday of College Football DFS is upon us for Week 3, but DraftKings has shifted things up as far as the main slate goes. DraftKings has slashed the number of games down to a much more manageable 10, a big change from the 16 and 15 games that were featured during the first two weeks.
It’s a good news, bad news situation. On the good news front, fewer games means we can better focus our research efforts. As for the bad news, less choices means the top selections and value plays on the slate will stick out even more.
Regardless of how many games we have at hand, our research begins in the same fashion. We want to take a look at what the oddsmakers have to say in terms of projected totals so that we can determine exactly where we want to zero in on.
This week, we find that 4 of the 10 games have a projected total of 60 points or more, 4 are projected between 50 and 59 points, and 3 check in with totals of 49 points or less. For reference, here are the 4 games with large projected totals and their current lines:
- Florida State @ Syracuse, +3, 68
- Hawaii @ Army, -7, 62
- Kent State @ Penn State, -34.5, 64.5
- Boise State @ Oklahoma State, -2.5, 64.5
Three of those games are projected to be pretty tight, while the other looks to be a blowout. We can safely say that we’ll want to try to get a few pieces from the three close games in our lineups, while the other 7 games on the docket will depend on individual matchups and salary concerns.
Let’s take a look at some recommended plays by position for what shapes up to be a solid slate of games.
QB: Brett Rypien – Boise State Broncos ($8.5k)
Choosing a signal caller from a projected shootout can prove to be a fruitful choice in DFS. Our chances are bolstered by the fact the Boise State QB Brett Rypien has been playing lights out this year.
Through two games, the senior signal caller has thrown for 667 yards and 7 touchdowns. Boise State has been pouring on the points so far, dropping 56 on Troy in Week 1 and 62 on UConn last week.
The competition is much stiffer this week against the Oklahoma State Cowboys, but we like Rypien’s chances to keep producing. A projected total of 64.5 points and a spread of just 2.5 points to a potential shootout, and Rypien has proved that he’s more than up to the task.
Two high-powered offenses could combine for an entertaining one in the late afternoon window, and we’re going to be sure to have some exposure to this game in our lineups.
RB: Justice Hill – Oklahoma State Cowboys ($7.8k)
We’re going right back to the same game to snag our first RB for our lineup. While Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor appears to be far and away the top choice at the position, he’s also pricey at a salary of $9,700.
Since the Badgers are big 21.5-point favorites over BYU, we’ll hold out hope that Taylor does his damage and the dogs are called off. Instead, we’ll look to save some coin and get a little more bang for our salary cap bucks.
Justice Hill has been relatively productive this year – 187 total yards and 3 scores – but we’re banking on him ramping things up substantially this week. He had a solid Week 1 against Missouri State, but South Alabama bottled him up last week. That said, Hill still found the end zone twice in Week 2.
The potential shootout nature of the game means that the points could come from a few different directions. Here’s a vote for the Cowboys running game as a pivot from the passing attacks.
RB: Trey Sermon – Oklahoma Sooners ($7.3k)
The Oklahoma Sooners suffered a big blow last week as star RB Rodney Anderson was lost for the year with a knee injury. The junior had already produced 119 yards and 3 TDs on the season before going down, and he appeared to be on his way to an incredibly productive season in the high-powered offense.
Sophomore Trey Sermon is expected to slide into the lead back role for this week’s tilt. Last year, Sermon ran for 744 yards and 5 TDs in the number two role, and he’s already run for 82 yards and a score this year.
Anderson will be a tough act to follow, but Sermon looks to be up to the task. He’ll get his first chance to prove the Sooners won’t miss a beat during Saturday’s road matchup with Iowa State.
WR: JoJo Ward – Hawaii Rainbow Warriors ($4.9k)
Through three games, the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have scored 145 points. The club is expected to score a boatload again this week, as they’re a 7-point underdog at Army in a game with a projected total of 62 points.
Sticking with our theme of wanting exposure to potential points fests, we want to snag some shares of Hawaii. However, we’re going to need to save money somewhere.
The Rainbow Warriors top two WRs – John Ursua and Cedric Boys – check in at price points of $8,100 and $7,400 respectively. JoJo Ward is next on the team in terms of receptions, and he offers up a big savings over his teammates.
Ward is a risk since he receives less opportunity than the duo in front of him, but his resume on the year includes a 75-yard TD catch. No promises he snags another one of those this week, but he’s an intriguing salary saver option to keep in your back pocket with DraftKings’ tight pricing.
WR: John Hightower – Boise State Broncos ($3.9k)
We can use a similar tact to gain additional exposure to the Boise State passing game, but this one comes with risk as well. However, the potential upside that John Hightower brings to the table at an attractive price point can’t be denied.
Last week, Hightower hauled in 5 passes for 119 yards and a score, and he added on a 55-yard rushing TD for good measure. However, that incredibly productive game came on the heels of him catching just two balls for 15 yards in Week 1.
Hightower is a boom-bust selection that affords you with a ton of flexibility for your lineups with his attractive salary. That said, he’s far from a guarantee to produce.
WR: D.J. Matthews – Florida State Seminoles ($3.5k)
In the first few weeks of the return of CFB DFS on DraftKings, it has been easier to find value at WR than at QB or RB. The trend continues this week, and we have another sub-$4k wideout for you to consider for your lineups as a result.
As we pointed out up above, Syracuse and Florida State are expected to combine for 68 points. That just so happens to be the highest total on the main slate of games. We’re going to want to mine for diamonds here, and we just may have found one with sophomore D.J. Matthews.
He hasn’t been terribly productive this year – 5 catches for 32 yards – but he has been penciled into the starting lineup this week. Matthews is another boom-bust option that brings plenty of potential upside to the table.
Flex: Qadree Ollison – Pittsburgh Panthers ($4.7k)
There is value to be found at RB is you dig deep enough on the salary scale, but that of course comes with some risk. Here’s an affordable RB that looks to be at least relatively safe.
Senior Qadree Ollison has moved to the top of the Pittsburgh Panthers depth chart. He has produced 192 yards and one score so far this year, but that’s made all the more impressive when you see he had a productive week while the Panthers were getting their clocks cleaned by Penn State in Week 2.
The Nittany Lions exited last week’s game with a 51-6 victory, but Ollison still delivered 119 rushing yards and a score. If he can pull that trick against the #11 team in the nation, we like his chances to do similar this week against Georgia Tech.
S-Flex: Cole McDonald – Hawaii Rainbow Warriors ($9.2k)
While there are plenty of different ways we can go at S-Flex, locking in a second QB with a ton of upside is always one of the more attractive options. Cole McDonald is going to cost you a pretty penny, but his performance through three games suggests it will be money that was very well spent.
Let’s take a look at McDonald’s game logs from this year:
- @ Colorado State: 418 yards and 3 TDs through the air, 96 yards and 2 TDs on the ground.
- Navy: 428 passing yards and 6 TDs
- Rice: 319 passing yards and three scores.
McDonald has been incredibly productive this year, and he could have another stellar game against Army this week. He’s going to eat up a big chunk of salary, but we’ll look for him to be a wise investment once again.
Thanks for reading. We hope we’ve helped you narrow down your list of targets for this week’s featured slate of CFB DFS on DraftKings. Enjoy the games this weekend and best of luck with your lineups!
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