It looks like DraftKings is sticking with a 10-game format for its main slate of College Football, as that’s what we have at hand for the third consecutive weeks. While less games on the docket affords us with the opportunity to focus our research efforts in a more efficient manner, there are still tons of options to pore over at each position.
As always, we’ll take a gander at what the oddsmakers have to say as the first step. This week, we see that six of the ten games have a projected total of 60 points or greater, three fall between 50 and 59.5 points, while one game checks in with a total of less than 50 points.
Here are the three highest projected scoring games for Saturday’s main slate of games.
- ULL @ Alabama, -49, 68
- West Virginia @ Texas Tech, +3.5, 73
- Baylor @ Oklahoma, -23.5, 68
According to the oddsmakers, one of the above three games will be a close shootout, one will be a big blowout, while the other will also have a clear victor. Once again, this does not mean this is exactly how each of these games will play out, but it does give us a great starting point for us to figure out a likely game script for all squads involved.
The other seven games fall into the same three categories, but the projected totals help us to easily separate the games into different buckets: high, medium, and low. Armed with that as a starting point, we can dig into the matchups themselves, salary considerations, and any changes to the respective depth charts or playing time concerns.
We have done a lot of the heavy lifting already, and here are some of the selections that we really like by position for Week 5.
QB: Trevor Lawrence – Clemson Tigers ($8.5k)
The Clemson Tigers have finally settled their ongoing debate at quarterback. Freshman Trevor Lawrence has officially been named the starter, and senior Kelly Bryant has decided to take his talents elsewhere as he pursues a transfer.
On the season, Lawrence has thrown for 600 yards, nine scores, and two picks. Last week was his finest outing of the season, as he threw for four touchdowns against Georgia Tech. He has the potential for another big outing this week.
Clemson welcomes Syracuse to town for a game with a projected total of 65.5 points. The Tigers and the Orange are both 4-0 on the year, but the former is a big 25.5-point favorite. We’ll look for Lawrence to demonstrate beyond a shadow of a doubt that the coaching staff made the right call by giving him the reins.
Lawrence is affordable and brings solid upside to the table. That can be a winning combination at quarterback on DraftKings.
RB: D’Andre Swift – Georgia Bulldogs ($5.7k)
Entering the season, the general expectation was that sophomore D’Andre Swift would be the lead back for the Georgia Bulldogs. While he has seen a good amount of work so far, he has also been slowed by injury concerns.
That’s allowed junior Elijah Holyfield to pick up some additional carries, and he has seized the opportunity. Holyfield has outplayed Swift so far, and there’s nothing to suggest coaches are going to stop giving the hot hand opportunities.
That said, signs point to Swift being fully healthy for Saturday’s game against the Tennessee Volunteers. He could see some extra work as a result, which makes for an excellent opportunity to buy low on him in hopes of the breakout performance that many have been waiting for.
While we can’t guarantee Swift is going to go off, his attractive price point and the opportunity at hand makes him an incredibly appealing lower-priced option at RB.
RB: D.J. Knox – Purdue Boilermakers ($5.2k)
A little further down the salary scale is Purdue Boilermakers senior RB D.J. Knox. He has been productive this year with a line of 55/303/3, but that’s not the only part of his appeal.
This week, Purdue faces off with a Nebraska Cornhuskers team which has been absolutely sieve-like on defense. The Michigan Wolverines obliterated them by a score of 56-10 last week, marking the team’s third loss in a row.
The Cornhuskers are clearly in rebuilding mode under new head coach Scott Frost, but there should be some improvement as the season moves along. That said, we can still exploit the matchup when see a good low-priced option, and Knox fits the bill.
While there are a number of higher-priced options to key in on this week, there are no must-play studs at the RB position on Week 5’s main slate. As such, it makes for a fine time to save some coin and look for value.
That’s what we’re doing here with Swift and Knox, and that provides us with a lot of flexibility for the rest of our lineup.
WR: Jerry Jeudy – Alabama Crimson Tide ($7.3k)
If we save money at running back, we can look to pay up and snag a stud at wide receiver. Alabama Crimson Tide sophomore wideout Jerry Jeudy has been just that so far in 2018.
Jeudy has hauled in 17 passes for 365 yards and six scores. He was a little quiet against the Texas A&M Aggies last week – 6/78/0 – but that came on the heels of three consecutive big games with two scores in each.
His early season success will insure he draws plenty of attention from opposing defenders for the rest of the way. While A&M may have the chops to hold him relatively in check, we can’t say the same thing for this week’s opponents, the ULL Ragin’ Cajuns.
Jeudy’s quiet Week 4 opens up the possibility that he’ll fly under the radar this week. We’re not going to make that mistake. He can do a ton of damage in a game in which the Crimson Tide are massive favorites. That applies even if the dogs are called off at halftime.
WR: Ja’Deion High – Texas Tech Red Raiders ($6.7k)
One of this week’s projected shootouts takes place deep in the heart of Texas, as the West Virginia Mountaineers hit the road to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. This game has a massive projected total of 73 points, and the Mountaineers are just 3.5-point favorites.
As such, we could see plenty of fireworks from these two high-powered offenses. On the Texas Tech side, freshman signal caller Alan Bowman has been playing lights out, throwing for 1,557 yards, 10 Tds, and two picks so far.
Bowman has a bunch of targets at his disposal, as evidenced by the fact that the Red Raiders have six pass catchers with 100 receiving yards or more. Senior wideout Ja’Deion High is one of them, as he has posted a line of 22/301/2 through four games.
That’s good enough for second on the team in terms of catches and yardage. When there are a number of talented pass catchers on one squad, that can make it challenging to zero in on who may go off on a particular week.
High is far from a sure thing, but he has a better than average of chance of being heavily involved in the Texas Tech passing attack once again.
WR: Justyn Ross – Clemson Tigers ($4.1k)
Since we have chosen Lawrence as our quarterback, we’re naturally going to at least look at his top pass catching options to see if we have a fit. If we find one that’s both productive and affordable, we’ll be pretty inclined to pull the trigger.
That’s what we have here in freshman wide receiver Justyn Ross, who has delivered a line of 6/172/3. Two Tigers receivers have more receptions than him, and we can say the same on the yardage front. However, he has the team lead in receiving touchdowns in spite of the limited opportunity he has received.
Technically, Ross looks to be the fourth option in the passing game, but he has already demonstrated he can be productive with fewer targets. We’ll look for that to happen again in Week 5. If it does, Ross can easily pay off his affordable salary.
Flex: Rakeem Boyd – Arkansas Razorbacks ($3.4k)
Another potential value play opportunity has opened up in the backfield of the Arkansas Razorbacks. The club’s lead RB, Devwah Whaley, is considered doubtful for Saturday’s tilt with the Texas A&M Aggies due to a concussion.
Sophomore Rakeem Boyd is next man up, and he has been productive in limited opportunities – 21/145/0. The Aggies are stout against the run, but this is an exceptional value play opportunity that we simply have to consider.
Monitor the news on this one as game time gets closer, but Boyd looks like one of Week 5’s finest potential value plays.
S-Flex: Tua Tagovailoa – Alabama Crimson Tide ($9.0k)
We have saved plenty of salary elsewhere, so that lets us pick and choose our spots to pay up at. We’re going to do just that at S-Flex and lock in one of the favorites for the Heisman Trophy, who has been playing at an incredibly high level.
The Crimson Tide offense is absolutely rolling, and Tua Tagovailoa is a big part of the reason why. Through four games, he has thrown for 1,033 yards and 12 scores, and he has added on two rushing scores for good measure.
As we mentioned when discussing Jeudy, there is a risk that Alabama gets up big and calls off the hounds. However, the sophomore signal caller has proven he can do plenty of damage whenever he’s on the field.
Alabama is a big 49-point favorite in a game with a projected total of 68 points. They’re going to score points, and Tagovailoa will have a hand in plenty of them.
Thanks for reading. We hope we’ve helped you narrow down your list of targets for this week’s featured slate of CFB DFS on DraftKings. Enjoy the games this weekend and best of luck with your lineups!
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