DraftKings moved to a 10-game schedule for its main slate of College Football DFS last week, and it looks like the company was pleased with the response. Another 10-game slate is on tap for noon on Saturday, and they have done a fine job of picking some appealing matchups.
If we start our research by checking out what the oddsmakers have to say, we find that six of the 10 games have projected totals of 60 points or greater. Three of the games fall between 50 and 59 points, while one is projected at 47.5.
Three of the games have particularly high projected totals of 64.5 points or more. Here they are for your reference, listed with spreads and totals.
- Georgia @ Missouri, +14.5, 64.5
- Boston College @ Purdue, +7, 65
- Tulane @ Ohio State, -37, 68
We can expect interest to be high for those three matchups for DFS purposes, as there is plenty of talent and potential value to be found in each of them. That said, we’d like you to keep something in mind when it comes to games with huge projected totals.
Last week, the game between Florida State and Syracuse was included on the main slate. A massive total of 68 points attracted a ton of interest from DFSers, as the general expectation was that it was going to be a points fest.
The final score was Syracuse 30, Florida State 7, well below the projected total. Projected totals are just that: projections. They shouldn’t be taken as stone cold guarantees.
Digging into projected totals remains a great way to divide and conquer the schedule for the week, but you should always remember that anything is possible when two teams step on the field.
Let’s take a look at some recommended plays by position for this week’s main slate of games.
QB: Skylar Thompson – Kansas State Wildcats ($5.5k)
There are plenty of higher-priced signal callers in good spots to choose from this week, but there are also a number of intriguing value plays that won’t cost you an arm and a leg. Kansas State redshirt sophomore QB Skylar Thompson is one of them as the Wildcats prepare to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in a potential points-fest.
WVU is a 16.5-point favorite in a game with a projected total of 60.5 points, so the potential game script points to Thompson and company playing catch up to keep pace. Thompson has five total touchdowns so far, and he has been showing improvement each week.
One note of caution: Junior QB Alex Delton has also seen some time behind center. Thompson seems to have done enough to take over the starting job on a permanent basis based on his solid Week 3, but keep an eye on the news heading into the game in case any unexpected surprises emerge.
Assuming nothing like that comes to pass, Thompson is an intriguing salary saver option at QB this week.
RB: AJ Dillon – Boston College Eagles ($9.0k)
AJ Dillon is part of the reason we’re looking to save salary where we can this week, as the sophomore Eagles RB looks to be the best back on the slate. Through three games, Dillon has toted the rock 59 times for 432 yards and four scores, and he’s added on two catches for 27 yards and another score for good measure.
Dillon is averaging a whopping 7.3 yards per carry, and he’s just two weeks removed from a three touchdown outing against Holy Cross. The Eagles take a step up in competition against the Purdue Boilermakers this week, but their opponents have had their struggles defending the run in 2018.
He’s in a solid spot to produce in Week 4, and he’s a focal point on offense for a squad that has been playing really well as it has marched towards a mark of 3-0. We’ll look for Dillon to pad his stats this week and plug him into our lineups without hesitation.
RB: Pooka Williams Jr. – Kansas Jayhawks ($5.7k)
True freshman RB Pooka Williams Jr. has burst onto the scene with a pair of electrifying performances. In Week 2, he put up a stat line of 14/125/2 against Central Michigan. Last week, he delivered an encore performance off 18/158/1.
All told, he’s averaging 8.8 yards per carry, and he looks to be firmly at the top of the pecking order in the Jayhawks’ backfield. He has another excellent chance to produce this week against a Baylor Bears team that hasn’t been shy about giving up points in 2018.
Last week, the Duke Blue Devils dropped a 40-spot on Baylor, and a committee approach in the backfield was able to produce 225 yards and a score in a victorious effort. We’re not going to suggest that Williams can do that all on his own this week, but his upside at a very affordable price point is awfully enticing.
WR: Jerry Jeudy – Alabama Crimson Tide ($8.4k)
The Crimson Tide are big 26-point favorites for their date with the Texas A&M Aggies, a game which feature a projected total of 61 points. The Alabama offense has been seriously clicking through three games, so there’s an excellent chance they will be putting up some points on Saturday afternoon.
As a result, we’re going to want some exposure for our lineups. Sophomore wideout Jerry Jeudy is a great way to make that happen. He’s going to cost you a pretty penny, but his production to date suggests he’s well worth it.
Jedy has 11 receptions, 287 yards, and six touchdowns on the year. Said another way, more than half of his catches have gone for scores. While we don’t expect him to keep up such an insane pace, another multiple-TD effort is not out of the question at all.
WR: Isaiah Zuber – Kansas State Wildcats ($5.7k)
Junior WR Isaiah Zuber had his best outing of the season last week against UTSA. The Wildcats won by a score of 41-17, and Zuber was a big part of the festivities with seven receptions for 144 yards and two touchdowns.
As mentioned above, we’re intrigued by the man who will be slinging passes in his direction as well. A Thompson-Zuber stack is not only potentially fruitful in a game that looks to be high scoring, but it’s also extremely affordable.
Zuber is one of the more intriguing mid-priced wide receivers on the main slate, and we’ll have exposure for our lineups as a result.
WR: Austin Mack – Ohio State Buckeyes ($4.9k)
The Ohio State Buckeyes offense has been pouring on the points in 2018. The team dropped 77 in Week 1, 52 the following week, and another 40 in last week’s victory over TCU. The Buckeyes are in a great spot to produce again when the Tulane Green Wave comes to town on Saturday.
Junior wideout Austin Mack had his most productive game of the year against TCU with four catches for 84 yards, and he was targeted a team-high nine times in the contest. On the year, Mack has delivered a line of 12/173/0.
While the lack of touchdowns is concerning, the streak is going to end if he continues seeing a healthy amount of targets. Mack is a cheap way to gain exposure to a high-powered offense, but this selection is not without risk.
Flex: Trayveon Williams – Texas A&M Aggies ($4.8k)
Speaking of risk, we need to get this out of the way up front with both our Flex and S-Flex selections: Texas A&M is a big underdog against Alabama, and there’s certainly a chance the Aggies will get their clocks cleaned. However, there’s also a chance the game will be closer than expected, and that points to a pair of Aggies as potential contrarian value plays.
Back in Week 2, the Aggies were 12.5-point underdogs to the Clemson Tigers. Texas A&M put a huge scare into the #2 team in the nation, ultimately losing 28-26. Of course, that was home game for the Aggies, and we’re not going to suggest they can waltz into Alabama and pull the same trick against a squad that looks to be light years better than anyone else.
However, it’s not out of the question for the Aggies to keep the game relatively close through three quarters before the Crimson Tide puts them away. If that comes to pass, Trayveon Williams could be an absolute steal at $4,800.
S-Flex: Kellen Mond – Texas A&M Aggies ($6.0k)
While we’re intrigued by Williams’ low price, we’re even higher on Kellen Mond’s prospects for the week. No matter which way you slice it, there’s a good chance the Aggies will be playing from behind. That equals the air being filled with footballs when A&M is on offense.
The Crimson Tide are obviously incredibly stout on defense, but they are not impervious to offensive production. A&M will move the ball, and they may even find the end zone a few times. Assuming that happens, the man with the keys to the offense stands to benefit.
We’re nervous about the risk too, as rostering a pair of Aggies can certainly backfire. However, it could also prove to be a decision that bears fruit if the game winds up a lot closer than expected.
Thanks for reading. We hope we’ve helped you narrow down your list of targets for this week’s featured slate of CFB DFS on DraftKings. Enjoy the games this weekend and best of luck with your lineups!
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