Three of the ten tilts check in with projected totals of 60 points or greater. Here they are for your reference.
- Oklahoma State @ Kansas State, +7, 61.5
- Baylor @ Texas, -14, 60.5
- UCF @ Memphis, +4.5, 81
As you would expect, hordes of users are going to flock towards the game between UCF and Memphis due to the massive projected total. There are definitely some nuggets to be found in that game, but the same applies for other contests on the docket.
Let’s take a look at some of the players that we really like at each position for Week 7.
QB: Brady White – Memphis Tigers ($7.8k)
UCF QB McKenzie Milton checks in with a price tag of $10,400, and there’s a good chance that he’s worth every penny. He’s averaging 35.3 fantasy points per game on DraftKings this season, and there’s nothing to suggest he can’t at least hit that benchmark in what projects to be a shootout against Memphis.
However, if there really is a shootout a brewing, then there’s a good chance players from the opposite sideline will be joining in the fantasy fun as well. We can also save $2,600 by pivoting over to Memphis QB Brady White, who has produced 30 fantasy points or more twice this season.
He may not have quite the upside that Milton does, but the Tigers will theoretically have to be airing it out to keep pace with the high-powered Knights. White is an affordable option at QB who could prove to be a fruitful choice.
RB: Justice Hill – Oklahoma State Cowboys ($6.9k)
While there are a number of higher-priced backs in intriguing spots on Saturday’s main slate of games, Justice Hill brings workhorse running back upside to the table at an affordable price. He’s toted the rock a whopping 55 times over the past two games, and there’s nothing to suggest he won’t be receiving a heavy workload once again this Saturday.
Hill disappointed last week with just 13.7 points against Iowa State. His salary has dropped from $8,500 to $6,900 as a result. When pricing inefficiencies pop up on DraftKings, it’s wise to at least keep those players on your shortlist as you build out your lineups.
Hill has the upside of the more expensive backs on the slate at a much more salary cap friendly price. He’ll find his way into our lineups as a result.
RB: Keaontay Ingram – Texas Longhorns ($5.5k)
We were on Keaontay Ingram at a bargain basement price of $4,900, as reports indicated that he was in line for lead back workload moving forward. That turned out to not be the case, as the Red River Showdown against Oklahoma turned into a real live shootout that saw the air filled with footballs.
Texas has another potentially high-scoring game this week against Baylor, but the game script sets up differently. The Longhorns are 14-point favorites, so there will be more opportunity for them to drain the clock if things go according to plan.
We’re not going to shy away from the talented freshman just because of a disappointing performance the previous week. The monster breakout game is coming, and we’re looking to catch it at a discounted price.
WR: Denzel Mims – Baylor Bears ($5.7k)
Sticking with the same game, the 60.5-point projected total for the tilt between Texas and Baylor tells us that there may be some fantasy goodness to be found. While Ingram has captured our interest due to the possibility that Texas will be up as the 14-point spread suggests, the same holds true in the opposite fashion for the Baylor passing game.
If the Longhorns do in fact get up big, then Baylor will have little choice other than to air it out in a bid to keep pace and catch up. When you add in the fact that Baylor skews towards the passing game as it is – 248 passing attempts versus 224 rushing attempts on the year – and we like the chances of finding fantasy points in the Bears’ air attack.
Denzel Mims is the second leading receiver on the squad, and he has produced a solid stat line of 32/449/3. He’s averaging 20.2 fantasy points per contest, and three of his outings have resulted in 23 points or more. Mims is a solid and affordable option at wideout in Week 7.
WR: Tre Nixon – UCF Knights ($5.7k)
We’re not going to totally pass on the upside of the Knights offense. Instead, we’re going to see if we can grab some of it in affordable fashion. That leads us to Tre Nixon, one of the squad’s leading receivers who comes in at a price south of $6,000.
Nixon is second on the team in both receptions and receiving touchdowns, and he has a 45-yard play on his resume this season. His total output of 20/312/3 is nothing to sneeze at, and he’s averaging 14.4 points per contest. As that low average suggests, he has had some poor outings this season.
However, that’s also partially because he had 101 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns against UConn in the season opener. He’s been at the top of the mind of opposing defenders since then, but he was able to break out for 6/97/1 last week. We’ll look for similar this week in what should be an entertaining points fest against Memphis.
WR: Pop Williams – Memphis Tigers ($4.1k)
The tightness of the salary cap on DraftKings makes finding value plays imperative. As we mentioned last week, one place you can dig into is the lower-priced receiving options that your chosen QB may be targeting. We employed that tactic last week and landed on Landon Wolf of the Oklahoma State Cowboys, who proceeded to haul in six balls for 63 yards and a score.
Wolf ended up with 18.9 fantasy points on the day, which worked out to a great return on his $4,200 salary. We’re looking to make some magic happen again by looking towards Pop Williams, who is the second leading receiver on Memphis.
Williams has caught 19 passes for 201 yards and a score thus far. While he has only two games with double digit fantasy points on his 2018 game log, there’s upside here if Brady White has to air it out as anticipated. Williams makes for an intriguing low-priced stacking option with our chosen QB.
Flex: Parris Campbell – Ohio State Buckeyes ($7.4k)
We’ve saved some money elsewhere in our lineup, so that affords us the flexibility to plug in a stud to our flex spot. The Ohio State Buckeyes are massive 29.5-point favorites over the visiting Minnesota Golden Gophers. They’re going to put up points. It’s just a matter of how much damage they do before calling the dogs off.
Through six games, the Buckeyes have put up less than 40 points just once. Heisman Trophy candidate Dwayne Haskins has been leading the way with 1,919 passing yards and 25 passing TDs on the year. He has a plethora of weapons at his disposal, but Parris Campbell has emerged as the top option in the passing game.
Campbell has caught 35 passes for 501 yards and six scores. He’s averaging 22.4 fantasy points per game, and he’s notched 37 points or more in two of his last three games. He may not play the whole game, but we’ll look for him to keep his hot streak going in limited action.
S-Flex: Charlie Brewer – Baylor Bears ($6.5k)
We lean towards rostering another QB in the S-Flex spot more often than not. When we happen to come across one at an affordable price point with a solid amount of upside, we’re ready to pounce. That’s what we have here in Baylor QB Charlie Brewer, who has been producing more efficiently than his salary indicates.
Brewer is averaging 24.1 fantasy points per game, but that’s skewed by his measly 6.02 points produced in Week 1. Outside of that, he’s delivered 22 points or more in each contest, and he has two games of 30 points or more.
As we mentioned up above, the projected game script calls for Baylor to be playing catch up. That being the case, Brewer will have an excellent chance to build on his streak of 20+ point fantasy outings. We’re going to need one of his better outings to really make some noise in GPPs, but we like our chances for him to deliver that and then some.
Thanks for reading. We hope we’ve helped you narrow down your list of targets for this week’s featured slate of CFB DFS on DraftKings. Enjoy the games this weekend and best of luck with your lineups!
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