Saturday’s main slate of College Football action on DraftKings features 10 games and kicks off at Noon EST. There’s appeal to be found in all 10 matchups that have been selected for the slate, and they run the gamut from what look to be tight defensive battles all the way up to potential shootouts.
A quick look at what the oddsmakers have to say tells us that four of the games feature a projected total of 60 points or more, while just one is below 50 points. That game looks to be an epic one from a classic CFB rivalry, as the Michigan Wolverines visit the Michigan State Spartans in a tilt with a projected total of 41 points.
While there might be some nuggets of value to glean from that game if everything breaks just right, players from that contest won’t be too popular for DFS purposes. That opens up plenty of contrarian possibilities for those who are looking to take a risk, but just be aware that there are safer plays for your lineups.
Here are the four games with high projected totals for your reference.
- Auburn Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels, +3.5, 63.5
- Oklahoma Sooners @ TCU Horned Frogs, +8, 61.5
- Penn State Nittany Lions @ Indiana Hoosiers, +14.5, 61
- Memphis Tigers @ Missouri Tigers, -9.5, 73
The battle of the Tigers in Missouri will obviously attract a ton of attention for DFS purposes, and rightfully so, as there are a number of potentially appealing plays on both squads. Let’s take a look at some of the players that we really like at each position for Week 8.
QB: Drew Lock – Missouri Tigers ($9.2k)
When a game has a projected total of 70+ points, the quarterbacks from that contest deserve a spot on your short list. While you can be sure that the signal callers from that contest will be popular and won’t fly under the radar, there are times when you have to put concerns about ownership percentages aside and not worry about it. This is one of those times.
Missouri senior QB Drew Lock is considered to be a solid NFL prospect, but he’s not having the most productive season. That’s not entirely his fault, as the Tigers have struggled to a 3-3 mark. On the year, Lock has thrown for 1,629 yards, 12 TDs, and six picks.
Quite simply, time is running short for him to pad his stats and prove what he’s capable of. This is as good of an opportunity as any for him to do so in a game with such a huge projected total. We’ll look for Lock to deliver one of his finest performances of 2018 on Saturday.
RB: Jonathan Taylor – Wisconsin Badgers ($9.7k)
Jonathan Taylor is going to cost you an arm and a leg, and the fact that he’s been held to 20 fantasy points or less in three of his last four contests makes spending such a hefty amount of cash even less appealing. However, this is what we call a ‘smash spot,’ and the Wisconsin Badgers and Taylor should take full advantage of that.
The Illinois Fighting Illini’ are 3-3 on the year, but the club is just 115th in the nation in terms of total yards allowed. Illinois is giving up an average of 31.5 points per game and 199.5 rushing yards per contest. You don’t suppose one of the nation’s top running backs is looking forward to this matchup, do you?
Taylor is a flat out stud, and opposing defensive coordinators are well aware that they need to gameplan to mitigate the damage he causes. Programs with a wealth of talent can do that, but average schools can not. Look for Taylor to bounce back in big league fashion this week.
RB: Ta’Zhawn Henry – Texas Tech Red Raiders ($5.3k)
Texas Tech and Kansas face off in a game that just misses the 60-point cutoff. The game between the Red Raiders and the Jayhawks has a projected total of 59 points, and you can easily make a case for the Over being the correct call. That being the case, there’s good reason to spend some extra time taking a look at the skill position players from both sides.
That leads us to Ta’Zhawn Henry, a talented back at an affordable price in a good spot to produce. While Kansas has held its own against the pass this season, the team is giving up an average of 177.2 rushing yards per game.
Henry hasn’t been productive for the past three weeks, but the team has abandoned the run in all three contests. We don’t anticipate that will be the case this week, as the Red Raiders may find some difficulty through the air. We’ll take Henry as an affordable RB option with solid upside.
WR: Kavontae Turpin – TCU Horned Frogs ($6.2k)
TCU faces off with Oklahoma in another potential shootout, and fireworks could very well be in the forecast for this one. While both squads have had their moments on defense this season, they can also both pour on the points as needed.
The Horned Frogs have held the offense of their last two opponents thoroughly in check, but they’re going to have a much tougher time turning that trick this week. Sooners QB Kyler Murray is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate, and he has a number of explosive weapons at his disposal to boot.
There’s firepower on the TCU side as well, including the speedy Kavontae Turpin, who has posted a line of 24/348/2. He’s coming in off of a big game against Texas Tech, and we’ll look for him to keep the momentum going with another solid outing.
WR: Marquez Callaway – Tennessee Volunteers ($3.4k)
We have a number of high-priced players on our roster so far, so we’re naturally going to have to pick our spots to save some coin. Wide receiver is always a solid spot to look for some intriguing value plays, but there’s naturally more risk the further you go down the salary scale.
There’s plenty of risk here with this selection, but it’s more than just a random dart throw. Alabama is a massive 28.5-point favorite as it hits the road to take on Tennessee, and there’s nothing to suggest that the Volunteers will be the ones to slow the Crimson Tide down.
That said, the hosts are going to complete passes and score points, and there’s a real solid chance they’ll be playing catch-up. Enter Marquez Callaway, the team’s leading receiver by both receptions and yardage. He doesn’t need to do much to pay off his low salary, and he also has some nice upside if the Volunteers put up a solid fight.
WR: Nick Westbrook – Indiana Hoosiers ($4.7k)
The Indiana Hoosiers are also big home underdogs – 14.5 points to Penn State – and the same logic applies. They’ll likely be playing catch-up, and that points to a need for them to be airing it out.
That leads us to Nick Westbrook, who also leads his club in both catches and yardage. Westbrook is averaging just 9.7 points per game, but he put up 24.9 two weeks ago when his club was in a similar spot.
In that one, the Hoosiers were big underdogs to Ohio State and playing come from behind football. Westbrook hauled in five balls for 109 yards and a score. We’ll gladly take similar output at his affordable price point this week.
Flex: Damonte Coxie – Memphis Tigers ($5.6k)
We’re going back to the well of the week’s highest projected total for our flex spot. We’ve also landed on another player who leads his team in receiving categories, but this pass catcher has even more of a dramatic edge over his teammates.
Through seven games, sophomore Damonte Coxie has caught 34 passes for 552 yards and four scores. He’s the leading pass catcher on the team by a wide margin, as he’s a featured part of the Tigers offense. We’ll expect him to be pretty busy if this game turns into a shootout as expected.
Coxie is affordable, sees plenty of targets, and has lots of upside. We’ll take our chances on a play like that any day.
S-Flex: Peyton Bender – Kansas Jayhawks ($5.7k)
Affordable quarterbacks in potential blow-up spots always capture our attention. That’s what we have here in senior QB Peyton Bender, who has officially been given the starting nod for Saturday’s game against Texas Tech.
While Bender hasn’t produced a ton this year – 681 passing yards, six scores, and a pick – he’s another player who is in a position in which his team is projected to be coming from behind. Texas Tech is favored by 18 points, and the team has shown some vulnerability against the pass, as opponents are averaging 299.3 passing yards per game.
Bender is a risky selection, but he’s one who could prove to be quite fruitful at a low price point if this game goes according to script. If we get ourselves an unexpected shootout, he could be a real game changer on the leaderboards.
Thanks for reading. We hope we’ve helped you narrow down your list of targets for this week’s featured slate of CFB DFS on DraftKings. Enjoy the games this weekend and best of luck with your lineups!