Saturday’s main slate of College Football action on DraftKings features 10 games and kicks off at Noon. Just three of the 10 games on the docket actually kick off at 12 PM EST, as the other seven contests get started between 3 PM and 4 PM.
Projected totals are on the light side this week, as just two of the ten contests top the magical 60-point threshold, but one of them has an eye-popping number attached. The other eight games range from a low of 49 points to a high of 57 points as of this writing.
Here are the two games with big projected totals for your reference:
- Kansas State Wildcats @ Oklahoma Sooners, -24.5, 64.5
- South Florida Bulls @ Houston Cougars, -7.5, 75
Naturally, interest will be high in both contests for DFS purposes, but the approach is different for both games. For the Kansas State and Oklahoma tilt, there is a blowout risk that has to be factored into the equation. Namely, can the top Sooners stars do enough damage before the dogs are called off? Is there value in Wildcats players under the assumption that they’ll be playing catch-up or trying to keep pace?
For the other contest involving South Florida and Houston, a projected total of 75 points is going to attract interest from DFSers which is akin to a moth being driven towards a flame. Of course, there are no guarantees that the signal callers or skill position players are going to be putting up epic numbers.
However, it’s still a solid idea to include them on your short lists from the get-go and then determine which you feel have the best shot at delivering an explosive outing. Some players will just stack the game and hope for the best, but barring a multi-lineup approach to DFS contests, that’s not necessarily an optimal strategy.
It can hit from time to time, but the single bullet crowd is better off trying to nail the upside plays from the game while balancing out the rest of their lineup with studs and value plays in great spots. Let’s take a look at some of the players that we really like at each position for Week 9.
QB: Brock Purdy – Iowa State Cyclones ($7.0k)
There are a number of higher-priced QBs in what look to be excellent spots to produce in Week 9, but we can also say the same thing about several value selections at the position. One player who falls into that category is Iowa State signal caller Brock Purdy, who has been playing lights out over his last two contests.
Back in Week 6, Purdy threw for four scores and compiled 47.12 fantasy points against Oklahoma State, and he followed that up by tossing another three TDs while posting 27.06 fantasy points versus West Virginia. The freshman has another shot at putting up big numbers in a potential shootout with Texas Tech on Saturday.
The Red Raiders defense has been playing pretty well of late, but this projects to be a tight, back-and-forth affair. Iowa State is currently a 4-point favorite in a game with a projected total of 57 points. There’s plenty of risk here, but also nice upside opportunity with a QB who won’t cost you an arm and a leg.
RB: Trey Sermon – Oklahoma Sooners ($6.6k)
The Sooners are involved in one of the aforementioned potentially high-scoring games we mentioned up above. Heisman candidate Kyler Murray will be a popular selection as a result, as will his two dynamic pass catchers, Marquise Brown and CeeDee Lamb.
We’re not going to talk you out of rostering anyone from that trio, but there is another direction to go to gain exposure to the Sooners offense – and save money to boot. Trey Sermon is averaging 14.1 fantasy points per contest, and he has a pair of 100+ yard games on his 2018 resume.
He has found the end zone five times on the year, including twice in his last outing at TCU. Sermon is an affordable and productive back who sees a steady diet of touches, and he could see even more in a game in which the Sooners project to be up big.
RB: Pooka Williams Jr. – Kansas Jayhawks ($5.9k)
We have another solid value opportunity a little further down the running back salary scale. Freshman Pooka Williams Jr. has the type of talent that has been turning heads of opponents and keeping defensive coordinators up at night. On the season, he has carried the rock 88 times for 619 yards and four scores, and he has hauled in 14 passes for 115 yards for good measure.
He’s averaging 19.2 fantasy points per game, but he has produced 25+ points in three of his outings. Williams Jr. has a shot at another productive day when the Jayhawks welcome the TCU Horned Frogs to town on Saturday. TCU’s defense has been pretty stout on an overall basis, but there is weakness to be found against the run.
The explosive RB is the type of player who can exploit it. Williams Jr. is another solid value play option who is capable of delivering a nice return on his low salary.
WR: Marquez Stevenson – Houston Cougars ($7.6k)
We’ve saved a good amount of capital at QB and RB so far, so that means we can treat ourselves a bit as we fill out the rest of our lineup. As we mentioned up top, we definitely have some interest in the potential shootout between South Florida and Houston, but we also don’t want to overdo it. Instead, we’ll pick our spots and zero in on the players we think can really go off. Here’s one of them.
Sophomore Marquez Stevenson is the top option in the passing attack for the Houston Cougars. Through seven games, he has caught 40 passes for 613 yards and six scores, which is good enough for an average of 24.7 fantasy points per contest.
We can make a case for him delivering similar output in a potential shootout, but there is some risk here since South Florida has been solid against the pass. That said, they haven’t exactly faced a murderer’s row of passing attacks either. We’ll look for Houston to put up some points and for Stevenson to be one of the big beneficiaries.
WR: Tyre McCants – South Florida Bulls ($6.0k)
Sticking with the same contest, there’s value to be found in the other passing attack as well. Junior QB Blake Burnett has produced both through the air and on the ground, as he has 17 total touchdowns on the season thus far. When he’s airing it out, Barnett is looking in the direction of senior Tyre McCants more often than other Bulls pass catchers.
For the year, McCants has a line of 40/435/2, which translates into 14.6 fantasy points per game. We don’t have the same defensive concerns for this selection, as the Cougars have been exposed numerous times through the air. Opponents are putting up an average of 333.6 passing yards per contest against them.
If this game goes along according to script, McCants is in line for a productive day. We’ll zero in on him as a means to gain exposure to the South Florida offense.
WR: Tee Higgins – Clemson Tigers ($6.1k)
Clemson is now the #2 team in the nation according to the AP poll, and the Tigers have a massive target on their backs as a result. The ranks of the undefeated teams are growing smaller by the week, and you can be certain that the Florida State Seminoles would love to be the ones to knock them off.
That’s easier said than done of course, but the Seminoles have the defensive chops to make things at least somewhat challenging. Specifically, Florida State has shown strength defending against the run, so explosive running back Travis Etienne may be in line for a rough day if the squad gameplans to stop him.
Assuming that’s the case, that opens things up for the Tigers passing attack, and their opponent just so happens to be showing weakness against the pass. Tee Higgins is the leading wideout for Clemson, and we like him to pad his stats as the Tigers look to keep their record unblemished.
Flex: Ivory Kelly-Martin – Iowa Hawkeyes ($4.7k)
While we’ve found plenty of balance for our lineup so far with players that aren’t exactly breaking the bank, we’re still going to have to save money somewhere to make it all work. Flex is a good spot to make that happen, and we have ourselves a low-priced running back in mind who also gives a little contrarian flavor to our lineup.
Sophomore Ivory Kelly-Martin has been in and out of the lineup this year with injury concerns, but he’s listed atop the depth chart for Saturday’s road trip to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions. Signs point to him being ready to go this week, and that’s positive news for the Hawkeyes, as he has been a key offensive cog when on the field this season.
Penn State has been struggling against the run, and there’s nothing to suggest the gaps will be plugged quickly. Kelly-Martin is a bargain bin back with great upside potential this week.
S-Flex: Clayton Thorson – Northwestern Wildcats ($6.1k)
As per usual, we’re looking towards QB for our S-Flex spot and trying to zero in on an affordable one who fits with the rest of our selections. Northwestern senior Clayton Thorson fits in nicely, but this is not just salary cap play. We like his upside this week against a Wisconsin Badgers squad that’s dealing with numerous injuries in its secondary.
Thorson’s season has been a mixed bag, but he has had three stellar outings in which he has thrown for 300+ yards and three scores. Can he turn the same trick here? We can’t promise you that, but we’ll note that Northwestern has been playing really well while ripping off three straight wins.
This is a huge game for the Big Ten West division lead. Northwestern is currently on top with a 4-1 mark in conference play, while Wisconsin is in a logjam for second place. The Wildcats are 4.5-point home underdogs, but we like Thorson to have a big day as he helps keep this one awfully interesting.
Thanks for reading. We hope we’ve helped you narrow down your list of targets for this week’s featured slate of CFB DFS on DraftKings. Enjoy the games this weekend and best of luck with your lineups!
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