No. 6 Florida (7-1) at Tennessee (2-5)
The Gators have dominated this series as they have won 14 of the last 15 games and have outscored the Volunteers, 81-24, in the last two meetings since coach Dan Mullen took over the Gators. Tennessee last won back-to-back games in the series in 2003 and 2004 and that was the first time since 1970-71. The Gators overall lead in the series is 29-20 after legendary coach Steve Spurrier, a Tennessee native, put domination of the Vols on his to-do list when he came to back to Gainesville as the head coach from 1990-2001.
Vs. The Spread:
The OVER is almost a given when the Gators play with quarterback Kyle Trask’s command of the play calling inside of Mullen’s offensive scheme. The Gators are OVER in seven of their last 10 and 6-1 SU at Tennessee in the last seven trips to Knoxville. Tennessee is 0-5 vs. the spread in their last five SEC games and the total has gone under in five of the Vols’ last six at home.
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Florida Gators||-17½ (-115)||-800||O 62½ (-110)|
|Tennessee Volunteers||+17½ (-105)||+580||U 62½ (-110)|
The Gators won their fifth in a row as they dismantled Kentucky, 34-10. Kyle Pitts was back in the line up after recovering from a concussion as Kyle Trask hit him with two touchdown passes while Kedarius Toney had a 50-yard punt return for a score.
Tennessee’s game at Vanderbilt was cancelled last week due to COVID-19 protocol. Auburn topped the Vols, 30-17, two weeks ago. Tennessee put up 464 yards on the Tigers while taking a 10-0 lead before the Tigers ran off 27 unanswered points for a decisive win.
When the Gators Have the Ball:
Trask is on the inside track for the Heisman Trophy as according to ESPN stats and info, he is one of only three quarterbacks in the last 15 years to have eight straight games of three or more touchdown passes. He ranks second in passing yards at 351.3 per game and has completed 71.4 percent of his passes. Kedarius Toney is a speed burner who can work the ends on the jet sweeps and pitch passes. Toney, Pitts, and Trevon Grimes have combined for 24 of the Gators’ 40 touchdowns inside of the passing attack.
Trask faces a Volunteers defense that is 102nd in defensive passing efficiency, so Trask is going to have a shot to solidify his Heisman potential. Tennessee gives up an average of 160 yards on the ground per game despite the presence of talented linebackers in Henry To’o To’o and Quavaris Couch. Dameon Pierce could have a big day for the Gators as he leads a rushing attack that averages 139 yard per games, which is a nice complement to the passing attack.
When the Volunteers Have the Ball:
Tennessee’s quarterback situation has never settled itself as Jarret Guarantano has had a decent season, but doesn’t produce enough in the passing game to equate to consistency and winning. He only has six touchdown passes beside of running back Eric Gray who has gone over 100 yards in three of the last four games.
Florida’s defense has gotten better over the past five weeks as it rated second in the SEC with 2.88 sacks per game and 6.50 tackles for loss. Four of Florida’s last five opponents have converted three or fewer third downs as this unit is getting better at getting off the field. Three of the last five opponents have been held to 277 yards total offense or less. The unit has made dramatic improvement since giving up 563 total yards in the lone loss to Texas A&M.
Winner: Florida (-17½) 45, Tennessee 19
Over-Under: OVER O 62½